Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns 9/28/24 – As we get closer to the fifth week of the NCAAF season, the match between the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-3) and the Texas Longhorns (4-0) at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium is expected to grab the attention of college football fans and the betting fanatics. Slated for action on Saturday, this game features the Bulldogs, who have not done impressively in recent games against the still-unbeaten Longhorns, who have been nothing short of head-turning. Even for fans ways to place a simple wager using top-tier online sportsbook, such as this game has interesting factors because of the difference in the standings of both teams.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns 9/28/24
| When: | Saturday, September 28, 2024, at 4:15 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium |
| TV: | SECN |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs | +34.5 (-115) | 55.5 over (-111) | TBD |  |
| Longhorns | -34.5 (-115) | 55.5 under (-111) | TBD | |
| ||||
Jordan (Moss)ley 😮💨#SHOWTIME | #HailState pic.twitter.com/jMA0ZhMEdF
— Mississippi State Football (@HailStateFB) September 23, 2024
The current betting landscape shows the Longhorns as massive 34.5-point favorites, which underscores the disparity in performance and expectations between the two squads this season. The over/under sits at 55.5, hinting at a game where high scores could be on the menu, especially considering the offensive capabilities of both teams.
Michael Van Buren Jr., QB vs. Quinn Ewers, QB
Mississippi State quarterback Michael Van Buren Jr. has 100 passing yards and is 53.8 percent passer rating 0 touchdowns and interceptions only. While these numbers are pretty good, Buren Jr. lost 11 yards on 2 sacks, demonstrating the weakness of the offensive line and his inability to throw the ball when it was needed. It will be interesting to see how Buren Jr. can locate his receivers as they will have to go up against a strong Texas defense, which will put more pressure on him.
Conversely, Quinn Ewers from Texas has been impressive with the passing game. He has said 691 yards, 8 touchdown passes, and 73.4 percent completions in attempted passes. Ewers has demonstrated great composure and ability to read the game since he has been sacked only once. With a 175.2 passer rating, Ewers will be of utmost importance as he will be able to find a lot of weaknesses in the Bulldogs’ defense.
The Bulldog’s Ground and Air Attack
Mississippi State’s offensive efforts are helmed by running back Johnnie Daniels and wide receiver Kevin Coleman Jr. Daniels has amassed 158 rushing yards on 32 carries, providing a solid ground game that complements Shapen’s aerial assaults. Coleman Jr., with 287 receiving yards and three touchdowns, stands out as a critical playmaker whose ability to break free for big gains could be a game-changer against Texas’s secondary.
Longhorn Leaders on the Field
Texas counters with Jerrick Gibson, who has notched 210 rushing yards and three touchdowns, showing a blend of speed and power that can wear down defenses. Isaiah Bond, the standout wide receiver with 290 yards and an average of 19.3 yards per catch, has proven to be a deep threat. His matchup with Mississippi State’s secondary could lead to explosive plays that tilt the game in Texas’s favor.
Trends
Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends
Mississippi State is 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mississippi State’s last 7 games.
Mississippi State is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
Mississippi State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
Bulldogs are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Southeastern Conference.
Texas Longhorns Betting Trends
Texas is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas’ last 7 games.
Texas is 11-1 SU in their last 12 games.
Longhorns are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home.
Texas is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Southeastern Conference.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns Betting Prediction
In light of current circumstances, it is more likely that Texas will be able to cover the spread. They have an explosive attack and a tougher defense, which is needed to overcome the sloppy execution of the Bulldogs. With respect to the total points on the game score, the pattern indicates that possibly an OVER is a worthwhile wager, and this is more so with the two teams being very offensive-minded.
On the subject of college football free picks and odds, Texas should take the spread and the victory as a safer option when it comes to placing a bet. Considering his ability to make big plays to fetch odds, the most straightforward prop bets would be to place on Isaiah Bond to score a touchdown.
Score Prediction: Texas 48, Mississippi State 13.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: September 24, 2024
Last updated: March 28, 2025