Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Michigan Wolverines 9/28/24 – As we prepare for another exciting clash in the NCAAF Week 5, the Minnesota Golden Gophers (2-2) will face the Michigan Wolverines (3-1) at the historic Michigan Stadium. This Saturday’s engagement brings along great expectations contrary to the recent performances of both teams and their history of clashes. It follows that both teams will also want to establish control, making this an essential match for fans of sports betting. If you are one of those who wish to open accounts at the best betting websites, this match has fair odds and many bets to offer.
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Michigan Wolverines 9/28/24
| When: | Saturday, September 28, 2024, at 12:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Michigan Stadium |
| TV: | FOX |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Gophers | +12.5 (-110) | 40.5 over (-105) | +385 |  |
| Wolverines | -12.5 (-110) | 40.5 under (-115) | -520 | |
| ||||
https://twitter.com/GopherFootball/status/1838262196549079195
The betting lines frame the Michigan Wolverines as heavy favorites with a -12.5 point spread, reflecting their solid early-season form and historical dominance over the Gophers. The over/under at 40.5 points suggests a moderately scoring game, fitting given both teams’ recent outings.
Max Brosmer QB vs. Davis Warren QB
The Gophers’ Max Brosmer has had his ups and downs this season, especially regarding his overall completion percentage of 65.8% and 836 passing yards. But his carelessness under pressure, which led to eight sacks and three interceptions, could be crucial in this game. Brosmer performs against the Wolverines’ fierce defense, which decides a lot about whether Minnesota stays in the hunt.
Further along, the Wolverines’ Davis Warren also had the problem of completing passes to his teammates, as six of his throws were intercepted while only two touchdowns were provided. He is efficient with the ball, completing 66.7% of his passes, but the total passing yards of 444 speak volumes about the conservative nature of Michigan’s offense. Depending on how much Warren gets pressured by Minnesota’s average but opportunistic defense, he could control the pace of the game quite well.
Gophers’ Ground and Air Attack: Balancing the Offense
There have been some shining spots on the Minnesota offense, as Darius Taylor, who has 222 rushing yards, appears to have speed with the ball as he averages a remarkable 6.3 yards per carry with three TDs. For the Gophers to penetrate the Wolverines’ defense, that explosive playmaking ability is the best. Added to this is the receiving skill of Daniel Jackson, who has 268 receiving yards and no touchdowns, which would need to be incorporated to spread the offensive threat and confuse the defense of Michigan.
Wolverines’ Rushing and Receiving Dynamics: A Potent Mix
Michigan’s offensive strategy has been significantly bolstered by Kalel Mullings, who has amassed 429 rushing yards and four touchdowns, showcasing a powerful running game. His ability to break through tackles and gain substantial yardage will be key. In the air, Semaj Morgan has been less effective with only 62 receiving yards, suggesting that the Wolverines might continue to lean heavily on their rushing game to control the clock and the game.
Trends
Minnesota Golden Gophers Betting Trends
Minnesota is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games.
Golden Gophers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against Michigan.
Minnesota is 1-10 SU in their last 11 games against Michigan.
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
Golden Gophers are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against Michigan.
Michigan Wolverines Betting Trends
Michigan is 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Michigan’s last 15 games.
Michigan is 18-1 SU in their last 19 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Michigan’s last 8 games against Minnesota.
Michigan is 19-1 SU in their last 20 games at home.
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Michigan Wolverines Betting Prediction
Looking at how teams have performed historically, the current form of these teams and their players, foreboding, that Michigan will continue to be dominant over Minnesota. Given the Wolverines’ excellent defense and forceful running game we would expect them to win the spread quite comfortably. The overall total might trend toward the over total, taking into account the struggles of both defenses.
Betting-wise, however, Michigan remains the safe team, especially in terms of the odds line. As for Kalen Mullin’s prop bets, rushing yards might also provide value. Those who are interested in the latest free NCAAF prediction should not fail to note the strong home record of Michigan and their ability to stop any team from scoring.
Score Prediction: Michigan 29, Minnesota 14.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: September 24, 2024
Last updated: March 28, 2025