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Michigan State vs. Northwestern NCAAF Betting Predictions & Odds

Posted by: Mike Davis
Michigan State Spartans Vs. Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF Betting odds and game preview

Last year Northwestern was a default champion of the Big Ten West Division. Their loss to Ohio State in the B1G title game was proof of their illegitimacy. So far this season the Wildcats offense has again shown itself to be a college football betting liability. As bad as Northwestern has been offensively Michigan State was even worse one week ago. Indeed, the Spartans 10-7 home loss to Arizona State will go down in infamy. Head coach Mark Dantonio shuffled coaches rather than fire them. Yet the offense is still not producing. And now the heat is coming his way.

Michigan State Spartans Vs. Northwestern Wildcats

When: Saturday, September 21, Noon ET
Where: Ryan Field, Evanston, Illinois
TV: ABC
Stream: ESPN
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Michigan State Spartans Vs. Northwestern Wildcats Betting Odds
Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Michigan State -9½ (-110) 39½ (-110) -360
Northwestern +9½ (-110) 39½ (-110) +300
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Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State is 2-1 straight up, 1-2 against the spread and 1-2 under the total. To show the loss to Arizona State included 10 penalties and sloppy play throughout the game. MSU did outgain the Sun Devils 404-216 in yards but failed to finish. Most important of all their game-tying field goal was overturned because of too many men on the field penalty. Namely, that points to Dantonio. Spartan fans are outraged that their third in the nation ranked defense is not getting support. MSU ranks a lackluster 74th for scoring offense.

Players to Watch: QB Brian Lewerke (797 YDS, 64% COMP, 7.4 AVG, 4 TD, 1 INT, 136.6 RTG, 18 RSH, 60 YDS, 3.3 AVG, 0 TD), RB Elijah Collins (44 RSH 281 YDS, 6.4 YPC, 1 TD), WR Darrell Stewart Jr (25 REC, 362 YDS, 14.5 YPC, 1 TD), WR Cody White (12 REC, 120 YDS, 10.0 YPC, 1 TD), TE Matt Dotson (9 REC, 80 YDS, 8.9 YPC, 1 TD)

Northwestern Wildcats

Counter to Michigan State was a Northwestern win of 30-14 over UNLV. Although the Wildcats failed to cover as 18.5-point chalks they’ll take it. Northwestern is 1-1 straight up, 0-2 vs. the odds, and 0-2 under the total. Offensively the purple is putrid. To illuminate, the Cats rank 112th in the nation for total offense and 117th for scoring. Perhaps more than any other team does Northwestern defy metrics and stats. But without a reliable offense, there is only so far they can go. Especially in the vastly improved Big Ten West.

Players to Watch: QB Hunter Johnson (220 YDS, 42.9% COMP, 5.2 AVG, 1 TD, 3 INT, 80.4 RTG), RB Drake Anderson (28 RSH, 146 YDS, 5.2 YPC, 1 TD), RB Jesse Brown (11 RSH, 85 YDS, 7.7 YPC, 0 TD), RB Isaiah Bowser (10 RSH, 54 YDS, 5.4 YPC, 0 TD), WR Bennett Skowronek (9 REC, 110 YDS, 12.2 YPC, 0 TD)

Michigan State vs. Northwestern Betting Numbers

Trends

Michigan State Spartans

5-8 ATS in their last 13 away games
2-5 under the total on the road
4-5 with the odds against Northwestern
7-4 over the total in their series with the Wildcats
5-4 on the board in road games against Big Ten schools
2-4 under the total away from home versus the Big Ten Conference

Northwestern Wildcats

2-4-1 against the spread in their last 7 home games
3-5-1 under the total at Ryan Field
2-6 ATS at home against the Spartans
4-2 over the total at Ryan Field in their series with Michigan State
6-2 vs. the odds at home against the Big Ten Conference
1-4-1 under the total at Ryan Field vs. the Big Ten

Michigan State vs. Northwestern Betting Picks

In this situation, the proud Spartans should be motivated for sports betting redemption. As was previously noted Michigan State gets the money at Ryan Field. Furthermore, the Northwestern offense will struggle to score against the nasty MSU defense.

Score Prediction: Michigan State Spartans 21, Northwestern Wildcats 7