Michigan State Spartans vs. Oregon Ducks 10/4/24 – It’s Week 6 of NCAAF, and Michigan State Spartans (3-2) will try to get back on the winning track when they take on the unbeaten Oregon Ducks (4-0) in a battle of two ranked teams on Friday night lights. It is well-known that this rivalry is intense, and this match is set to be played at the Autzen Stadium on the 4th of October, 2024. We move to NCAAF Week 6 free predictions and discuss why you should be all-in on this game.
Michigan State Spartans vs. Oregon Ducks 10/4/24
| When: | Friday, October 4, 2024 at 9:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Autzen Stadium |
| TV: | FOX |
| Stream: | SofaScore |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartans | +25.5 (-110) | 52.5 over (-111) | +1600 |  |
| Ducks | -3.5 (-108) | 52.5 under (-111) | -4500 | |
| ||||
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— Michigan State Football (@MSU_Football) October 1, 2024
This game sees the Oregon Ducks as heavy favorites, underlining their dominant start to the season. The Spartans, facing daunting odds, are at a significant disadvantage with a spread that suggests a tough battle ahead. The total set at 52.5 reflects expectations for a moderately high-scoring affair, aligning with both teams’ recent games trending under.
Aidan Chiles QB vs. Dillon Gabriel QB
Michigan State’s starting quarterback, Aidan Chiles, has had a season of ups and downs with 1058 yards passing, a completion rate of 56.3%, and more picks (8) than touchdowns (5) thrown. These statistics indicate a struggling player trying to perform with a lot of sacks and being sacked for a lot of yards lost. The likelihood of the Spartans pulling off an upset against the dominant Oregon defense is also very much dependent on Chiles and his ability to cope under pressure.
On the other hand, Dillon Gabriel of Oregon has shown himself to be all business, with a stellar 81.5 percent completion and 1,192 yards passing. 9 touchdowns demonstrate his complete dominance against 1 interception all season. Gabriel continues to maintain a trend towards fewer sacks and higher passer ratings, which makes one think he will be the central character on Friday night and will be the one controlling both the tempo and the direction of the Ducks’ offense.
Spartan Strides: Michigan State’s Ground and Air Attack
Kay’Ron Lynch-Adams drives and supports much of the offense, with a rushing average of 5.3 yards, facing a strong Oregon defense. As part of the offense, Lynch-Adams and wide receiver Nick Marsh, who records 20.2 yards per catch, dominate each play for the Spartans. It is crucial for this partnership’s potential in any upset, as they will help make the sharpened edges of Oregon’s buttress bend. Given the chemistry and firepower of the duo, the complexion may change, but that would require perfection against the top half of the Ducks.
Ducks in Flight: Oregon’s Offensive Juggernaut
Oregon’s offense, led by running back Jordan James and wide receiver Tez Johnson, showcases a balanced attack that has overwhelmed opponents. James’ 386 rushing yards and 6 yards per carry underscore a powerful running game that complements Gabriel’s aerial threats. With 33 catches and 4 touchdowns, Johnson has been a reliable target, turning receptions into significant gains. This duo’s ability to exploit gaps in Michigan State’s defense will be critical in maintaining Oregon’s undefeated streak.
Trends
Michigan State Spartans Betting Trends
Michigan State is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Michigan State’s last 8 games.
Michigan State is 5-10 SU in their last 15 games.
Michigan State is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against Oregon.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State’s last 5 games on the road.
Oregon Ducks Betting Trends
Oregon is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon’s last 7 games.
Oregon is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.
Oregon is 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home.
Ducks are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Michigan State Spartans vs. Oregon Ducks Betting Prediction
From both the trajectories of the teams and their sports history, it would seem that Oregon is only going to get better with Dillon Gabriel, who leads a well-rounded and scary offense. So Michigan State’s inefficiencies, or rather plain weaknesses most notably in the areas of how to protect the quarterbacks and how to protect the football, most likely will not help them mount a credible challenge.
As for premier betting site features, in addition to spread and moneyline betting, valuable prop betting options can be found, especially on the offensive core of the Oregon team, which may be useful. Total points under the option are clearly also on point because it supports both Idaho and Oregon in their recent trends towards low scoring games.
Score Prediction: Oregon 35, Michigan State 10.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: October 2, 2024
Last updated: March 28, 2025