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Let’s drop some LSU: Alabama Crimson Tide versus Tigers

Posted by: Charlie Smith
Alabama Crimson Tide is the NCAA football betting favorite to defeat the LSU Tigers

The Alabama Crimson Tide is the NCAA football betting favorite to defeat the LSU Tigers on Saturday, November 5th at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge. These are the odds for people betting on college football:

Alabama -7 (-115) -280
LSU +7 (-105) +240

Alabama (8-0) beat the Texas A&M Aggies 33-14 the Saturday before last. Defensive end Jonathan Allen returned a fumble 30 yards to score in the last seconds of the third quarter to help the Tide defeat the then-No. 6 Aggies. ‘Bama has scored on defense or special teams in ten straight games. Additionally, the Tide sacked TAMU quarterback Trevor Knight five times. Alabama QB Jalen Hurts threw 15 of 25 for 164 yards with two TDs and two interceptions, and ran for 93 yards on 21 carries for another score. Running back Damien Harris led the rushing attack with 128 yards on 17 carries.

The Tigers (5-2) defeated the Ole Miss Rebels 38-21 on October 22nd. Running back Leonard Fournette was a veritable Gingerbread Man as he ran for 284 yards on 16 carries and scored three TDs for 78, 76 and 59 yards. LSU gained 515 total yards. The Tigers made it back to the AP top 25 last week and have climbed to the 15th spot. LSU intercepted Ole Miss QBB Chad Kelly two times and sacked him another two times. The Tigers kept the Rebels at fewer than 30 points for the first time this season.

Alabama is averaging 43.9 points and 498 yards per game and they have 12 TOs. Hurts has completed 63.1% of his passes with 11 touchdowns and 5 interceptions and has run for 521 yards and 9 touchdowns. Harris has 697 yards and a touchdown, Calvin Ridley has 43 receptions and 5 touchdowns, and ArDarius Stewart has 28 receptions and 3 touchdowns. The Alabama defense is allowing 14.9 points and 274.5 yards per game with 8 interceptions, 8 fumble recoveries, and 32 sacks. Reuben Foster has 53 tackles, Jonathan Allen has 6, and Minkah Fitzpatrick has 3 interceptions.

The Tigers average 29.9 points and 423.7 yards per game and they have 11 turnovers. QB Danny Etling has a 60.5 completion percentage with 7 touchdowns and 3 interceptions since starting under center. Fournette has recovered from injury and is averaging 8.1 yards per carry with 5 touchdowns, while Derrius Guice is averaging 8.0 yards per carry with 7 touchdowns Travin Dural has 24 receptions and a touchdown, and Malachi Dupre has 23 receptions and a touchdown. The defense allows 15 points and 313.9 yards per game with 6 interceptions, 4 fumble recoveries, and 20 sacks. Kendell Beckwith leads the defense with 69 tackles, Duke Riley has 59, and Arden Key has 8.

NCAA football betting-wise, the Tigers are 5-1 ATS after game in which they covered the spread, 7-3 ATS after a bye week, and 4-1 ATS playing at home against a team with a winning home record. The Tide is 4-0 ATS facing a team with a winning record, 4-1 ATS after a win, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 away games. The NCAA football betting favorite has covered the point spread in 4 of the last five encounters between these two teams.