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Kentucky Wildcats Vs. South Carolina Gamecocks NCAAF Betting Picks

Posted by: Anthony Yaylor
Kentucky Wildcats Vs. South Carolina Gamecocks NCAAF Betting odds and preview

Last year marked the greatest season of the modern era at Kentucky. The Wildcats posted double-digit wins and won their bowl over Penn State. Head coach Mark Stoops was justifiably celebrated for his build-up of the program that was often painstaking. But graduation losses have hit the Wildcats hard and NCAA football betting wins have been tougher to come by. South Carolina has had it even worse than U of K. Head coach Will Muschamp is facing more doubts about his ability to elevate the program. Indeed, the Steve Spurrier years are likely an aberration.

Kentucky Wildcats Vs. South Carolina Gamecocks

When: Saturday, September 28, 7:30 p.m. ET
Where: Williams Brice Stadium, Columbia, South Carolina
TV: SEC Network
Stream: ESPN

Kentucky Wildcats Vs. South Carolina Gamecocks Betting Odds

Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Kentucky +3 (-110) 51 (-110) +130
South Carolina -3 (-110) 51 (-110) -150
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Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky is 2-2 straight up, 3-1 against the spread, 3-1 over the total. Staring with conference play have come two consecutive losses. Kentucky is coming off a 28-13 loss at Mississippi State. National metrics explain much of Kentucky’s problems. Consider the Wildcats rank 68th for total offense and 85th for scoring. In the same way, Kentucky ranks 78th for total defense and 61st for points allowed.

Players to Watch: QB Sawyer Smith (575 YDS, 50.6% COMP, 6.8 YPC, 4 TD, 4 INT, 4 SACK, 113.5 RTG), RB Asim Rose (56 RSH, 297 YDS, 5.3 YPC, 2 TD, 9 REC, 56 YDS, 6.2 YPC, 0 TD), RB Kavosiey Smoke (44 RSH, 276 YDS, 6.3 YPC, 3 TD), WR Lynn Bowden Jr (27 REC, 330 YDS, 12.2 YPC, 1 TD), WR Ahmad Wagner (10 REC, 213 YDS, 21.3 YPC, 2 TD)

South Carolina Gamecocks

At the beginning of the season there was cautious optimism about the Gamecocks chances. But South Carolina is 1-3 straight up, 2-2 with the odds, and 2-2 on totals. Last week the Gamecocks were run off the field at Missouri 34-14. Overall, USC ranks 50th for total offense and 59th for scoring. Of great concern is a defense that ranks 100th and 82nd for points allowed.

Players to Watch: QB Ryan Hilinski (772 YDS, 62% COMP, 6.6 AVG, 5 TD, 3 INT, 5 SACK, 126.8 RTG), RB Rico Dowdle (41 RSH, 268 YDS, 6.5 YPC, 3 TD, 7 REC, 49 YDS, 7.0 YPC, 0 TD), RB Tavien Feaster (35 RSH, 183 YDS, 5.2 YPC, 1 TD, 8 REC, 52 YDS, 6.5 YPC, 0 TD), WR Bryan Edwards (21 REC, 311 YDS, 14.8 YPC, 3 TD), WR Shi Smith (16 REC, 190 YDS, 11.9 YPC, 1 TD, TE Kyle Markway (14 REC, 172 YDS, 12.3 YPC, 2 TD), PK Parker White (11-11 XP, 6-8 FG), DL Javon Kinlaw (4 SACKS, 13 TACKLES)

Kentucky Wildcats vs. South Carolina Gamecocks Betting Numbers

Trends

Kentucky Wildcats

9-5 ATS in their last 14 away games
3-7 under the total on the road
8-2 with the odds in their last 10 games with South Carolina
8-4 over the total in their head to head series with the Gamecocks
3-4 on the board in their last 7 away games vs. SEC teams
3-8 under the total on the road vs. SEC schools

South Carolina Gamecocks

5-6 ATS in their last 11 games at William Brice Stadium
6-3 over the total in their last 11 matchups at home
6-4-1 with the odds at home against SEC teams
6-2 over the total when hosting SEC schools
1-4 on the board at home against Kentucky
6-2 over the total when hosting the Wildcats

Kentucky Wildcats vs. South Carolina Gamecocks Betting Picks

In this situation, we have two relatively even teams. As was previously noted Kentucky has been the better value with the college football odds on the road and at against South Carolina. Specifically, the Gamecocks defense is a worrisome eyesore.

Score Prediction: Kentucky Wildcats 21, South Carolina Gamecocks 20