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Alabama, Mississippi State do battle for Highway 82

Posted by: Anthony Yaylor
Mississippi St vs. Alabama - 2016-11-12

People betting on college football with even the flimsiest grip on reality favor the Alabama Crimson Tide over the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday, November 12th at Bryant–Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa. The following are the NCAA football betting odds for the game:

Mississippi St +29 (-110) +3250
Alabama -29 (-110) -7500

The Bulldogs (4-5) pulled a 35-28 upset of the Texas A&M Aggies on Saturday. Mississippi State QB Nick Fitzgerald went 18 of 31 for 209 yards with two TD passes to wide receiver Fred Ross, and ran for 182 yards on 20 carries with two more scores, including a key 4-yard touchdown late in the fourth quarter, which capped off a grueling 14-play, 73-yard drive.

Alabama (9-0) beat the LSU Tigers 10-0 in a war of attrition on Saturday. The Tide’s defense held running back Leonard Fournette to 31 yards on 19 carries and no TDs, and the Tigers repaid the favor by similarly containing QB Jalen Hurts until early in the fourth quarter. Hurts finished 10 of 19 for 107 yards, and ran for 114 yards on 20 carries with one 21-yard scoring run. Alabama outgained LSU 323 yards to 125, and out ran the Tigers 216 yards to 33.

Thank for that stroll down memory lane; now let’s get to the stuff that interests fans betting on college football. ‘Bama is averaging 40.1 points and 478.6 yards per game. Hurts has completed 62.3% of his passes with 12 TDs and six picks, and has run for 635 yards and 10 touchdowns. Damien Harris has run 750 yards and a touchdown and Calvin Ridley has 46 receptions and five touchdowns, while ArDarius Stewart has 31 receptions and four touchdowns. Alabama is yielding 13.2 points and 257.9 yards per game with nine interceptions, eight fumble recoveries, and 37 sacks. Reuben Foster has with 64 tackles, Shaun Dion Hamilton has 47, and Jonathan Allen has seven. The Tide 4-0 ATS in their last four games, 5-1 ATS in their last six games at home, 1-4 ATS against a team with a losing record, 9-0 SU and 7-2 on the season. The Tide keeps finding ways to cover the spread, such as a field goal against LSU that allowed them to hang on as seven-point favorites.

And now for the other side of the story for people betting on college football. The Bulldogs are averaging 30.9 points and 446.1 yards per game. Fitzgerald has completed 56.3% of his passes with 16 touchdowns and nine picks and has run for 839 yards and eight TDs. Aeris Williams has rushed for 346 yards and two TDs. Fred Ross has 54 receptions and nine scores. Mississippi State is giving up 29.8 points and 414.6 yards per game with 10 interceptions, seven fumble recoveries, and 20 sacks. Richie Brown has 76 sacks, Leo Lewis has 60, and Jonathan Calvin has five. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS after game in which they covered the point spread, 17-8 ATS in their last 25 conference games, and 0-8 straight up in its last eight games against Alabama.