EuroBasket 2025 will take place from August 27 to September 14. It will be jointly hosted by Cyprus, Finland, Poland, and Latvia. There will be 24 teams, divided into 4 groups. The Champion will be crowned in Riga. So, no wasted words–let’s get right to it.
The best basketball betting websites have already prepared other bets. Outright winners, group stage bets, MVP props, and more. This tournament is expected to be one of the busiest events for international basketball sportsbooks, with rapidly changing odds.
It doesn’t matter whether you are betting on the tournament favorite or looking for a valuable long shot. Betting sportsbooks will have.
Favorites and Where They Stand
Let’s look at the frontrunners first. Most places have Serbia as the frontrunner. Some betting sites have them at +160, which is roughly a 38% chance of winning. Germany comes next, with most sportsbooks offering them at +500 or +600. France is around the same, but a bit behind.
Greece and Spain are not too far either, with odds between +1000 and +1200. That’s a great deal for teams with great records. Greece can shift the power rankings overnight with players like Giannis Antetokounmpo.
All of the figures above are from before the tournament. I expect these odds will change greatly once group-stage games are played and as injuries occur.
Inside the Sportsbook: How the Numbers Get Made
If you’re wondering how odds are set, odds are not set simply based on reputations; sportsbooks have a well-fitting system set in place.
Live Data Feeds
Most sportsbooks use advanced data providers to get a team’s real-time performance numbers, analytics, and historical data. This helps them with their pre-game odds.
Margin and Probability Models
Once all raw data is in, the sportsbook’s model converts that into odds. They also add their margin, which is a few percentage points over what’s considered fair value, which helps them earn profit over time.
Market Activity
Once odds go live, they are prone to change. If sharp bettors, for example, bet early on Germany, then books will shade the line to limit liability and tactically settle the action.
Machine Learning
Larger platforms use machine learning to flag suspicious betting activity and instantly rebalance their lines. This is not human art, more along the lines of an algorithm science.
All of these reasons are set in place for a sportsbook. The sportsbook’s model simply translates raw data into predictive analytics and numbers.
Group Betting and Alternative Markets
Beyond just picking the champion, sportsbooks offer lots of secondary markets, especially on top-tier sites.
Group-winner bets are hot right now. For instance:
- Group A: Serbia is a heavy favorite
- Group B: Germany leads, Lithuania follows
- Group C: Greece and Spain are near even
- Group D: France is comfortably ahead of Slovenia and Croatia
These odds tend to be less volatile than outrights, but they still offer decent value—especially early before teams play a game.
You’ll also see lines for things like:
- Most points by a player
- Most blocks
- Total wins in the group stage
- Team to qualify from a specific group
Some betting sites let you bet on specific matchups too, for example, whether Doncic or Antetokounmpo scores more over the group stage.
Bigger returns attract high-risk bettors, especially with props like these.
Turning to the basketball betting odds, Serbia seems to hold the consensus favorite. However, they differ slightly depending on where you play. That’s why the practice of line-shopping, or comparing odds from different sportsbooks, is crucial. Greece could be offered at +1100 on one site and +950 on another. That difference is crucial, especially on long shots.
And here’s the kicker: many casual bettors won’t notice these differences. The best and sharpest bets for casual bettors don’t come from picking the “right” team, but instead the sharpest bets are about the best price.
Live Betting: Real-Time Opportunity, Real-Time Risk
Once the games begin, everything shifts. Live betting turns EuroBasket into a market where everything is bought and sold in seconds. Your 10–0 run? The underdog now becomes the favorite. Injury? Everything swings right away.
Sports betting businesses have automatic systems that adjust betting lines in real time. If you’re betting on the game as it progresses, your edge is faster app/site updates. Some sports books are 5–10 seconds behind updating the odds. Others are almost instant.
That is important. If you’re betting while a game is in play, use slow data and unresponsive mobile apps. Mid-game delays cap your chances. Breathe right betting floors.
What Bettors Should Watch For
When wagering on EuroBasket, simply having a list of odds won’t suffice. Here’s what differentiates winners from casual betters:
Monitor Line Movement
Monitor how odds shift in the days leading up to the tournament. Major shifts often follow injuries or a surge in betting volume.
Track Team News Closely
Every EuroBasket team has a roster that is subject to change right up to the tip-off. A star player sitting out a group stage game is quite the information. Make sure to adjust your bets.
Bankroll Strategy
Don’t go chasing MVP props or underdog outright bets with your entire balance. Have a strategy instead. A series of small, calculated wagers that accumulate are far better than one all-or-nothing bet.
Use Bonuses
A lot of books offer promotions specific to EuroBasket events. Risk-free bets or odds boosts. Take advantage of them, as those are some of the rare edges you get.
Know When to Cash Out
If a player starts hot with a +1200 and hits the semis, some platforms allow cash out. When it gets too risky, that’s the point to take profit.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Why do EuroBasket odds vary across sites?
A: Each sportsbook sets margins differently and reacts uniquely to market trends and betting volume.
Q: Are live bets riskier than pre-game bets?
A: Yes. Odds change fast, and delays in data or app response can cost you.
Q: What’s the safest EuroBasket market to bet on?
A: Generally, group-stage bets are more predictable than MVP props or tournament outrights.
Q: How do sportsbooks adjust to injuries?
A: Odds change almost instantly. Most books have alerts tied to roster changes and news feeds to update lines.
Q: What Are the Key Attributes of Online Basketball Sportsbooks?
A: A leading online basketball sportsbook offers reliable odds, fast updates, strong market coverage, good mobile apps, and customer-friendly features like cash-out and live streaming.
Lock In or Let It Ride
EuroBasket is here, and sportsbooks are all over it. Whether you’re chasing the title-winner line or digging into team prop markets, this is peak time for basketball betting. Every odds shift, every update, every angle—it all matters.
So the move now is this: if you’re in, be smart. Use platforms that give you speed, options, and odds that match how you bet. Don’t just follow the hype. Whether you’re all-in on Serbia, riding a Germany run, or betting Slovenia to stun the field, the lines are live—and moving.
Make it count.
