Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks 3/3/25 – On Monday night, Sacramento Kings (31-28) will go head-to-head with Dallas Mavericks (32-29) in a showdown that has all the markings of a high-stakes battle. Both teams are in the middle of the playoff race, so every win will help them secure a better position. Currently, Sacramento is entering this match on a high, having won 6 of their last 8 games. On the other hand, Dallas has been losing steam with three losses in their last five games. Fans and bettors alike will not want to miss what promises to be an entertaining encounter between two sides that are desperate for a victory in the hardwood battle of American Airlines Center.
| When: | Monday, March 3, 2025, at 8:30 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX |
| TV: | Mavs.com |
| Stream: | NBA League Pass |
that's our player of the week 😤 pic.twitter.com/EOhGSCRIWT
— Sacramento Kings (@SacramentoKings) March 4, 2025
Sacramento enters as a slight underdog despite their recent strong play, while Dallas is favored at home, where they’ve been solid with a 4-1 record in their last five at the American Airlines Center. The total is set at 231.5, with oddsmakers expecting a high-scoring affair. Given both teams’ trends, the under has been hitting frequently in their matchups, which makes it an intriguing play for bettors.
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | +1.5 (-110) | Over 231.5 (-115) | +105 |  |
| Mavericks | -1.5 (-110) | Under 231.5 (-105) | -125 | |
| ||||
De’Aaron Fox (PG) vs. Kyrie Irving (PG)
De’Aaron Fox has kept the Kings’ offense alive and strong all season. Through 45 games, he’s earning 25 points, 6.1 assists and 5 rebounds on average. He’s Sacramento’s key scoring option and their primary passer. He has tremendous speed and great finesse around the hoop. Unfortunately, some slight issues have been turnovers (3 per game) and fouls (2.6 per game) primarily when playing against physical defenses. If Fox is able to pace the game to his liking, he can limit his mistakes and square off against Irving while giving the Kings another road victory.
On the other side, Kyrie Irving continues to change the game for Dallas, sitting at an impressive 25 points, 4.9 rebounds, and 4.7 assists per game. And to top it off, he plays smart. While his elite scoring abilities earn him points effortlessly in Dallas, his elite ball handling skills and ability to create shot opportunities for himself makes it hell for any defender trying to go against him. While he turns the ball over less than Fox, (2.2 per game), he is a bit more of a risk to leave on the court because his defense isn’t that great. Against Fox, Irving has to step up his defense while facilitating for the rest of the team, especially with Luka Doncic battling some injuries.
Kings on the Rise
The Kings have been playing great in their last five games, winning four of them. They recently beat the Rockets 113-103. When playing weaker opponents, the Kings have demonstrated that they can beat them without much trouble. Their only losses in recent memory were to Golden State and New Orleans, and they were both very high scoring games. They seem to have no problem scoring points, as they’ve put up over 118 points a game in their last five. Sacramento will be looking to keep that streak alive as they head to Dallas, a city where they have had great success of late winning four out of the last six.
Dallas’ Struggling for Consistency
Dallas has been unpredictable in recent games, winning two of their last five. They just suffered a tough 132-117 loss to Milwaukee, where their defense was exposed. Their most notable win came against the Pelicans (111-103), showing they can still compete against strong teams. However, losses to Golden State (126-102) and the Lakers (107-99) raise concerns about their ability to keep up with faster-paced offenses like Sacramento’s. The Mavericks will need a complete performance on both ends to hold off the surging Kings.
Trends
Sacramento Kings Betting Trends
Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento’s last 6 games.
Sacramento is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.
Sacramento is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against Dallas.
Sacramento is 4-1 SU in their last 5 road games.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends
Dallas is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas’ last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas’ last 7 games against Sacramento.
Dallas is 4-1 SU in their last 5 home games.
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against Sacramento.
Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Prediction
This matchup is too tight to call, and the betting lines show this. Sacramento has been a strong road team, winning four of their last five away games, while Dallas has defended home court well. The Kings are active on offense, but Dallas’ defense is playing better than expected, as their frequent unders suggest.
Looking at current trends, Sacramento getting points (+1.5 ) feels generous, especially given how their Mavericks games have been trending. Also, the under (231.5) is very appealing considering that six of the last seven meetings have gone under. If you want a player prop, De’Aaron Fox’s points prop may be interesting looking at his scoring bursts lately.
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Score Prediction: Sacramento Kings 112, Dallas Mavericks 108.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: March 3, 2025
Last updated: March 29, 2025