Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder 2/5/25 – The Phoenix Suns (25-24) will face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (39-9) on February 5, 2025, at Paycom Center. On this date, as the two teams in the Western Conference Northeast Division clash, the Suns seek to break their losing streak against an OKC that has been inches away from losing at home. While Phoenix has lost two straight matches against Portland, the Thunder is celebrating a thumping win over Milwaukee. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Devin Booker will lead the match featuring elite scorers on both ends of the court. With so much action on the line, can the Suns defy the odds and score a massive upset, or will OKC continue its reign at home? Check out our exclusive predictions article where we cover in-depth analysis on trends, stats and best bets for NBA.
| When: | Wednesday, February 5, 2025, at 9:30 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK |
| TV: | ESPN |
| Stream: | NBA League Pass |
BOOK IT.@Nike | @nikebasketball pic.twitter.com/kJiqbiL3yH
— Phoenix Suns (@Suns) February 5, 2025
The Thunder enter this game as heavy favorites, reflecting their dominant season and near-impeccable home record (11-1 SU). The Suns, on the other hand, have struggled to cover the spread recently, going just 2-4 ATS in their last six games. With a high total of 225.5, bettors should consider OKC’s recent OVER trend (6 of last 7 games) and Phoenix’s tendency to hit the OVER in road matchups. If you’re looking for a safe bet, OKC to win outright is heavily juiced, but their spread at +100 offers some value.
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | +12.5 (-120) | Over 225.5 (-115) | +500 |  |
| Thunder | -12.5 (+100) | Under 225.5 (-105) | -800 | |
| ||||
Devin Booker (SG) vs. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG)
Devin Booker is the offensive leader for the Suns with an average of 26.1 PPG while playing 37.1 minutes a game. His traditional shot-making and increasing assist averages (6.7 APG) means he is among the fiercest scorers around the backend. He does, however, have to improve his defense, as Phoenix’s top guards have been very difficult to stop this season. He’s also had a high volume of turnovers (2.6 in a game) that show poor ball security. With an OKC team that averages 11.1 steals a game, he will need to be more cautious with the ball.
On the other side, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to perform, managing 32.5 PPG and a good shooting percentage. His strength to the hoop coupled with drawing fouls and hitting clutch shots makes him unguardable. On top of that, he has significantly stepped up his defense with an average of 2.0 SPG and 1.0 BPG. If he gets on the roll, the Suns will need to do all they can to try and slow him down because he can singlehandedly complicate the game for them.
Phoenix Suns in Desperate Need of Consistency
Phoenix has been inconsistent this season as demonstrated in their last five games (2-3 SU). The Suns suffered two losses against Portland, which is concerning for their playoff chase. They performed well against Golden State (130-105 win) but had issues against the Timberwolves and Clippers. The main problem has been on the defensive side, as they let over 120 points three times in their last five games. In order to stay competitive with OKC, they will need to improve defensively.
Oklahoma City Thunder Powerhouse at Home
OKC has been dominant, winning four of their last five games, including a statement victory over Milwaukee (125-96). Their only recent slip-up was against Golden State, but otherwise, they’ve been rolling, putting up 118+ points in four straight wins. The Thunder’s depth, defensive tenacity, and home-court advantage make them one of the toughest teams to beat. Their +12.5 spread may seem large, but given their recent form, it’s well within reach.
Trends
Phoenix Suns Betting Trends
Phoenix are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix’s last 5 games.
Phoenix are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Oklahoma City.
Phoenix are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Oklahoma City.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix’s last 8 games on the road.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Trends
Oklahoma City are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City’s last 7 games.
Oklahoma City are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games.
Oklahoma City are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games at home.
Oklahoma City are 17-3 SU in their last 20 games when playing at home against Phoenix.
Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Prediction
This seems to be a difficult challenge for Phoenix to overcome. The Suns have always had trouble with elite teams, and OKC has been a beast in their own arena. Even though Devin Booker’s offensive outburst is severe, the Thunder D and the speed of their offense is likely to eat up a Phoenix side that has had its fair share of struggle. SGA is playing MVP caliber basketball, and with the Thunder running things in the house, the Suns’ ability to keep it close is in serious doubt.
Betting wise, OKC’s spread at -12.5 is fair based on the last couple of results. The OVER 225.5 also looks solid for the same reasons. Should you want to focus on prop selections, SGA scoring props have been doing well, 30+, while Devin Booker assist props are good at 7+
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Score Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder 124, Phoenix Suns 109..
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: February 5, 2025
Last updated: March 29, 2025