Miami Heat vs. Sacramento Kings 1/6/25 – In a pivotal Monday night encounter at the Golden 1 Center, the Miami Heat (17-16) step up against the Sacramento Kings (17-19). With both fighting for a spot in the playoffs, this might turn out to be a tight game. Kings are coming off three consecutive game wins while the Heat suffered a heavy loss to the Jazz just a few days ago, so they will be looking to bounce back. However, this game will be an entertaining one to watch and follow and for all our basketball followers out there, we have got free NBA predictions for you without any charges to help you with your betting endeavours.
| When: | Monday, January 6, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA |
| TV: | NBA TV |
| Stream: | NBA League Pass |
https://twitter.com/MiamiHEAT/status/1876296655370330222
The Kings have a moneyline of -150 and a spread of -3.5 which makes them the slight favorite at home. In recent matches, Miami has performed exceedingly well against Sacramento and their moneyline of +130 is a great value for underdog bettors. The total is set at 224.5 and given Sacramento’s and Miami’s recent tendencies, this is likely to be a high scoring game. Given their combined different attacking options, I think it is reasonable and probable to bet on the over.
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | +3.5 (-120) | Over 224.5 (-110) | +130 |  |
| Kings | -3.5 (+100) | Under 224.5 (-110) | -150 | |
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Tyler Herro (PG) vs. DeMar DeRozan (SF)
Tyler Herro has been a crucial player for the team while playing for the heat and he has managed to average 23.8 points along with 5.5 rebounds and 5.1 assists on a per game basis this 2023 season. He is primarily known for his shooting with good timing. He has managed to spread the floor as well and will be central to the team. However, he provides very little on the defense making him a potential liability against the kings due to their high scoring mechanics.
The former figure for the Raptors, Demar DeRozan has transitioned to the Sacramento Kings and he has maintained an average of 20.8 points with 3.9 rebounds and assists per game. He is known for his mid-range shooting technique, combined with solid defensive skills that have aided the kings as well. Despite this, his shooting percentage is still high as well as turnover prone, while his ability to shoot 3 pointers is quite poor giving the heat players more playable opportunities.
There are no doubts that these two are exceptional players and when they meet, it is Herro’s accuracy from beyond the arc that troubles the Sacramento perimeter defense, while DeRozan’s creativity in the paint frustrates Miami’s defense leading to stronger performances with good timings.
Heat’s Recent Struggles Continue
Miami has been having a rough time as they hold a record of 2-3 in their last five games. They suffered two notable losses, one to Utah, which was their last game, and another to Indiana, which was by an enormous margin. Although they also won two matches against New Orleans and Houston, their inconsistency in performances was visible yet again. Now the Heat face off against a high scoring Kings offense, it is essential for the team to toughen up their defense if they wish to avoid getting cut down in a blowout.
Kings Riding Momentum into Key Matchup
Sacramento approaches this game with three consecutive victories, the latest being their 138-133 win against Memphis. They have showcased their ability to outrun their opponents, however, the lack of defense is a worry. A 132-122 loss suffered against the Lakers, however, stripped them of their confidence against high shooting teams. Sacramento, against Miami must maintain a balance in their defense.
Trends
Miami Heat Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games.
Miami is 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games against Sacramento.
Miami is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami’s last 9 road games against Sacramento.
Sacramento Kings Betting Trends
Sacramento is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Sacramento’s last 20 games against Miami.
Sacramento is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento’s last 5 home games against Miami.
Miami Heat vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Prediction
This matchup features two teams tending in opposite directions. The high-scoring offense and win streak of the Sacramento team gives them the better chance of winning. Nonetheless, Miami fighting history appeals against the Kings. The over (224.5) is the strongest play, considering the players’ offensive tendencies and the teams’ defensive tendencies.
As for the premium matchup offerings, target the prop bets on Tyler Herro Points (over 22.5) and on DeRozan assists (over 4.5) since both players are expected to play a key role. Sign up today to make your NBA betting prediction!
Score Prediction: Sacramento Kings 118, Miami Heat 113.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: January 6, 2025
Last updated: March 25, 2025