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Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns 11/07/2019 NBA Odds and Game Analysis

Posted by: Hilbert Mayer
Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns 11-07-2019 NBA Odds and Game Analysis

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns 11/07/2019 – Two of NBA’s most surprising teams this season, the Miami Heat (5-2) and the Phoenix Suns (5-2) collide Thursday at Talking Stick Arena. Get your popcorn ready because you are in for a real treat in this game. The Suns’ stocks in the Las Vegas betting lines keep on rising in each marquee win they make. The Heat, on the other hand, looks to stay on track after they got a rude welcome in Mile High on Tuesday.

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns 11/07/2019

When: November 7, 2019, 9:00 PM ET
Where: Talking Stick Arena
TV: FSAZ
Stream: NBA League Pass, SofaScore

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns 11/07/2019 Betting Odds
Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Miami Heat +1 (-110) 218.5 o (-110) +100

Phoenix Suns
-1 (-110) 218.5 u (-110) -120
Bet Now on this Game

Miami Heat Betting

The Heat’s four-game winning streak got snapped in Denver, as the Nuggets smothered the visiting team to just 36 percent FG shooting in a 109-89 win two days ago. Jimmy Butler scored 16 points and grabbed 7 rebounds, while Kendrick Nunn added 11 markers. Miami Heat also shot poorly from beyond the arc (9-for-29) and the free-throw line (16-for-25) in that forgetful night.

Players to Watch: Kendrick Nunn (18.3 PPG, 2.1 RPG, 3.1 APG), Goran Dragic (15.1 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 4.6 APG), Jimmy Butler (15.0 PPG, 7.0 RPG, 6.5 APG)

Phoenix Suns Betting

The Suns’ remarkable start is slowly turning doubters to believers. ESPN analyst Max Kellerman said on First Take that he’s starting to believe Devin Booker is no longer an overhyped player. The star shooting guard is scorching hot through the first seven games, averaging 26.1 points on 53 percent FG shooting and 50 percent from beyond the arc. He’s also getting constant production from Kelly Oubre Jr. and Ricky Rubio, who has brought his unselfish brand of basketball to the desert.

Players to Watch: Devin Booker (26.1 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 5.0 APG), Kelly Oubre, Jr. (17.4 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 1.6 APG), Aron Baynes (15.0 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 3.6 APG)

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns 11/07/2019 Betting Numbers

Trends

Miami Heat

Miami is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games.
Miami is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
Miami is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games against Phoenix.
Heat is 16-2 SU in their last 18 games against Phoenix.
Miami is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games on the road.
Miami is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Phoenix.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games this season.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami’s last 12 games against an opponent in the Western Conference.
Miami is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Pacific division.

Phoenix Suns

Phoenix is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix’s last 7 games.
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix’s last 5 games against Miami.
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
Phoenix is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games when playing at home against Miami.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix’s last 5 games this season.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Phoenix’s last 11 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference.
Phoenix is 2-13 SU in their last 15 games against an opponent in the Southeast division.
Phoenix is 4-11 SU in their last 15 games played in November.

Injuries

Miami Heat

Dion Waiters SG Illness is “?” Thursday vs Phoenix

Phoenix Suns

Deandre Ayton C Suspension is out 25 games

Head-to-Head
Miami Heat Phoenix Suns
42-38 Against the Spread 36-46
42-38 Straight Up 38-44
105 Points per Game 107
105 Points Allowed per Game 116
46.28 Offensive FG% 47.14
71.64 Offensive FT% 81.87
38.98 Offensive 3PT% 37.71
43.44 Defensive FG% 43.27
71.79 Defensive FT% 75.81
27.64 Defensive 3PT% 33.33

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Betting Picks

The Suns’ unexpected rise shouldn’t surprise anyone at all if you just valued more the hiring of Monty Williams. The veteran head coach has turned a stagnant offense to one of the most efficient in the NBA as Phoenix ranks No.2 in the league in assists per game (27.7) and No.8 in points per game (115.0). The Heat doesn’t fall behind as they rank No.3 in assists per game (26.4) and No.12 in points per game (113.7).

Moneyline: The Suns are in for a dogfight with the Heat on Thursday, though I expect Devin Booker to knock down key baskets late in the game, powering his team to a close win over the visiting team.

ATS: The Suns will improve their ATS record to 8-0 by the end of the night. Sure, Miami will keep the game close down to the final minute, but this game will still be decided by two or more points.

TOTALs: This game will go over the NBA over/under totals of 218.5 points. The Suns and Heat are two of the most explosive offensive teams in the NBA, and there’s no reason not to believe they are going to total more than 220 points in this game.

Score Prediction: 125-122 Suns