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Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves 10/27/2019 NBA Spread and Game Analysis

Posted by: Hilbert Mayer
Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves 10-27-2019 NBA Spread and Game Analysis

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves 10/27/2019 – The Miami Heat has been among the biggest surprises in the opening week of the 2019-20 NBA season. Despite playing without star swingman Jimmy Butler due to personal reasons, the Heat scored two huge wins vs. the Memphis Grizzles 120-101 and the Eastern Conference elite Milwaukee Bucks 131-126. On Sunday, they are heading to the Twin City to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves, who have also impressed fans and NBA betting buffs after winning their first two assignments in scintillating fashions.

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves 10/27/2019

When: Sunday, October 27, 2019 7:00 PM ET
Where: Target Center
TV: FSN
Stream: NBA League Pass, SofaScore

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves 10/27/2019 Betting Odds
Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Miami Heat +5 (-110) 224 o (-110) +195

Minnesota Timberwolves
-5 (-110) 224 u (-110) -245
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Miami Heat Betting

The Heat is building on something good early this season. After narrowly missing the playoffs the past few years, Miami is looking like a very good bet to make in this year’s postseason with a deep roster and a brand new mindset. Justise Winslow is averaging 18.5 points and 10.0 rebounds in the first two games, while veteran guard Goran Dagic is steadily reviving his career after dropping 27.5 PPG and 4.8 APG. The Heat is shooting 46 percent from the field without Butler, who will still miss the next two games after the birth of his daughter.

Players to Watch: Justise Winslow (18.5 PPG and 10.0 RPG), Goran Dragic (27.5 PPG and 4.8 APG), and Tyler Herro (14.0 PPG and 6.5 RPG)

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting

Like the Heat, the Timberwolves are off to a great start after salvaging wins vs. Brooklyn Nets 127-126 and Charlotte Hornets 121-99. Karl-Anthony Towns is dropping monster numbers in the first two games, chalking up 36.5 PPG on 60 percent FG% (61 percent 3-point%) with 14.5 RPG and 5.5 APG. Andrew Wiggins is doing a solid job too in a supporting role, averaging 18.5 PPG and 6.0 APG.

Players to Watch: Karl-Anthony Towns 36.5 PPG, 14.5 RPG, 5.5 APG), Andrew Wiggins (18.5 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 1.0 APG), Josh Okogie (12.5 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 3.0 APG)

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves 10/27/2019 Betting Numbers

Trends

Miami Heat

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games.
Miami is 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games against Minnesota.
Miami is 12-6 SU in their last 18 games against Minnesota.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games on the road.
Miami is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami’s last 9 games against an opponent in the Western Conference.
Miami is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against an opponent in the Northwest division.
Miami is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games played in October.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 6 games against Miami.
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home.
Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing at home against Miami.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 7 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Minnesota’s last 13 games against an opponent in the Southeast division.
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played in October.
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games played on a Sunday.

Injuries

Miami Heat

Udonis Haslem PF Wrist is “?” Sunday vs Minnesota
Jimmy Butler SG Personal is OUT Sunday vs Minnesota
Dion Waiters SG Personal is OUT Sunday vs Minnesota

Minnesota Timberwolves

No Injuries

Head-to-Head
Miami Heat Minnesota Timberwolves
42-38-2 Against the Spread 40-42
42-38-2 Straight Up 44-38
105 Points per Game 112
105 Points Allowed per Game 113
47.06 Offensive FG% 44.72
84.62 Offensive FT% 76.27
38.89 Offensive 3PT% 30.86
42.7 Defensive FG% 45.95
66.67 Defensive FT% 53.85
15.63 Defensive 3PT% 42.86

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Picks

Bet on NBA game at BetNow because the stats show we are in for a treat. Miami and Minnesota split their last 10 head-to-head meetings, with the Heat averaging 107.20 PPG on 49.94% FG while the Timberwolves scoring 104.50 on 44.41% FG.

Moneyline: The Timberwolves are -210 favorites to win the match, but never count out this scrappy Heat team, who just toppled the biggest giant in the East (Milwaukee Bucks) on Saturday. I am anticipating a really close ball game with Miami prevailing in the end.

ATS: The T-Wolves are coming in as -6.5 points favorite. Again, I have a feeling that Erik Spoelstra has a perfect game plan to limit Towns’ production in this game. Once Minnesota’s star is off, the Heat will have an easier time dispatching the home team.

TOTALs: The O/U total for this game is set at 224 points. Miami is averaging 120.00 points per game while Minnesota is scoring 124.00 per contest in their first two games. Taking that into account, this game will surely exceed the O/U totals.

Score Prediction: 120-118 Heat