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Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks 10/26/2019 NBA Odds, Picks and Preview

Posted by: Hilbert Mayer
Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks 10-26-2019 NBA Odds, Picks and Preview

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks 10/26/2019 The Milwaukee Bucks look to continue their winning ways as they gun for a 2-0 start against the Miami Heat, who will play without star forward Jimmy Butler for the second consecutive game. Fresh from 117-111 road victory over the Houston Rockets, the East’s favorites Bucks will have their home-opener at Fiserv Forum against a Miami squad that is coming off a 120-101 victory over the Memphis Grizzlies. The Bucks are entering the game as -10 points NBA betting favorite, but the Heat might have a different plan on Saturday.

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks 10/26/2019

When: Saturday, October 26, 2019, 5:00 PM ET
Where: Fiserv Forum, Philips Ave, Milwaukee
TV: NBA TV
Stream: NBA League Pass


Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks 10/26/2019 Betting Odds
Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Miami Heat +9.5 (-110) 226.5 (-110) +380

Milwaukee Bucks
-9.5 (-110) 226.5 (-110) -588
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Miami Heat Betting

The Heat will be missing the service of Jimmy Butler, their prized free-agent acquisition last summer, because of personal reasons (birth of his daughter). Despite Butler’s absence in the home opener, Miami proved to be a tough customer for Memphis as they shot 47.1 percent from the field and beat their opponent for the boards 51-40. But for the Heat to repeat as winners, they are going to need another outstanding all-around performance from Justise Winslow, who recorded 27 points, 7 rebounds, 7 assists. Rookie Kendrick Nunn debut with 24 points and Goran Dragic added 19 off the bench.

Players to Watch Justise Winslow (27.0 PPG, 7.0 RPG, 7.0 APG, Kendrick Nunn (24.0, 2.0 RPG, 3.0 APG) and Goran Dragic (19.0 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 3.0 PPG).

Milwaukee Bucks Betting

The Bucks opened the 2019-20 NBA season on a scintillating fashion, rallying from an early double-digit deficit to beat the Houston Rockets 117-111. Reigning NBA MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo filled in the stats sheet, recording 30 points, 11 rebounds, and 13 assists. Six Bucks players also scored in double figures, including Wesley Matthews (14 points) and Khris Middleton (11 points).

Players to Watch: Giannis Antetokounmpo (30 PPG, 13 RBP, 11 APG), Wesley Matthews (14 PPG, 4 RPG, 1 APG), and Ersan Ilyasova (13 PPG and 11RPG)

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks 10/26/2019 Betting Numbers

Trends

Miami Heat

Miami is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games.
Miami is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
Miami is 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games against Milwaukee.
Heat are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against Milwaukee.
Miami is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
Miami is 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee.
Heat are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami’s last 8 games against an opponent in the Central division.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami’s last 7 games played in October.

Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 9 games.
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games against Miami.
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
Bucks are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games when playing at home against Miami.
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference.
Milwaukee is 10-2 SU in their last 12 games against an opponent in the Southeast division.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Milwaukee’s last 20 games played in October.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games played on a Saturday.

Injuries

Miami Heat

Udonis Haslem – OUT (Wrist)

Jimmy Butler – OUT (Personal Reasons)

Dion Waiters – OUT (Suspended)

Milwaukee Bucks

No Reported Injuries

Head-to-Head
Miami Heat Milwaukee Bucks
42-38-2 Against the Spread 57-37-3
42-38-2 Straight Up 49-48
105 Points per Game 117
105 Points Allowed per Game 108
47.06 Offensive FG% N/A
84.62 Offensive FT% N/A
38.89 Offensive 3PT% N/A
42.7 Defensive FG% N/A
66.67 Defensive FT% N/A
15.63 Defensive 3PT% N/A

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Picks

The Bucks are surprisingly 4-1 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings with the Heat, averaging 100.6 points on 44 percent FG shooting over that stretch. The Heat, meanwhile, is dropping 98 points per game on 43 percent FG shooting. Bet on NBA games now to earn some serious cash.

Moneyline: On paper, the Bucks should be the hands-down favorite to win. However, taking the stats over their last 10 meetings into account, it seems the Heat knows how to play Giannis and company. Still, my bet will be on the Bucks, who are looking a notch better than they were a season ago.

ATS: The Heat has a 6-4 ATS record vs. the Bucks over the last 10 games. Again, the Bucks are entering as the 10-point favorites. As I said, nobody should count out the Heat because they seem comfortable playing against the Bucks. But without Butler, it will take another monster game from Winslow just to keep the Heat within striking distance.

TOTALs: The O/U total for this game is set at 226.5 points. Again, based on their head-to-head stats over the last 10 games, the Heat-Bucks total score tends to float around 200 to 205. Both teams like to play defense, and that’s the reason why I don’t believe they are going to exceed the O/U Totals

Score Prediction: 110-103 Bucks