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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat 1/28/2020 NBA Odds and Game Analysis

Posted by: Hilbert Mayer
Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat 1-28-2020 NBA Odds and Game Analysis

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat 1/28/2020 – The Boston Celtics will try to get a bounce-back win on Tuesday as they travel to South Beach where they will play the Miami Heat at American Airlines Arena. The Celtics, who are fresh from absorbing a 123-108 beatdown at the hands of the New Orleans Pelicans, opened as 1-point NBA spread underdogs to the Heat, who just blew out the Orlando Magic, 113-92.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat 1/28/2020

When: January 28, 2020 8:00 PM ET
Where: American Airlines Arena, Miami, Florida
TV: TNT
Stream: NBA League Pass, SofaScore

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat 1/28/2020 Betting Odds
Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Boston Celtics +3 (-108) 216.5 o (-110) +135

Miami Heat
-3 (-108) 216.5 u (-110) -155
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Boston Celtics Betting

Hours after learning the death of Kobe Bryant, the Celtics played the Pelicans on the road and looked deflated throughout the game. Kemba Walker finished with 35 points on 24 shots, Gordon Hayward recorded 23 points and Jaylen Brown added 20 points in a loss. The Celtics shot 46 percent from the field and just hauled in 37 rebounds.

Players to Watch: Kemba Walker (22.4 PPG, 4.0 RPG and 5.0 APG)

Jayson Tatum (21.5 PPG, 6.9 RPG and 2.9 APG)

Jaylen Brown (20.0 PPG, 6.6 RPG and 2.3 APG)

Miami Heat Betting

The Heat avenged their earlier loss to the Orlando Magic with a 113-92 win against their intra-state rivals. Bam Adebayo recorded a triple-double with 20 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists and Duncan Robinson fired for 21 points. Jimmy Butler had 19 points and 7 assists to keep Miami among the best in the Eastern Conference.

Players to Watch: Jimmy Butler (20.2 PPG, 6.9 RPG and 6.5 APG)

Kendrick Nunn (16.2 PPG, 2.8 RPG and 3.5 APG)

Bam Adebayo (16.0 PPG, 10.4 RPG, and 4.8 APG)

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat 1/28/2020 Betting Numbers

Trends

Boston Celtics

Boston are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games.
Celtics are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against Miami.
Boston are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games against Miami.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games on the road.
Boston are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston’s last 10 games against an opponent in the Eastern conference.
Boston are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games against an opponent in the Southeast division.
Boston are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games played in January.

Miami Heat

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami’s last 11 games.
Miami are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games against Boston.
Miami are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games at home.
Miami are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing at home against Boston.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami’s last 10 games this season.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games against an opponent in the Eastern conference.
Miami are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against an opponent in the Atlantic division.
Miami are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Tuesday.

Injuries

Boston Celtics

Enes Kanter C Hip is downgraded to OUT Tuesday vs Miami
Jayson Tatum SF Groin is downgraded to doubtful Tuesday vs Miami
Javonte Green PG Knee is “?” Tuesday vs Miami

Miami Heat

Justise Winslow PF Back is out indefinitely
Kendrick Nunn PG Achilles is “?” Tuesday vs Boston

Head-to-Head
Boston Celtics Miami Heat
26-18 Against the Spread 24-19
20-24 Straight Up 28-16
112 Points per Game 112
105 Points Allowed per Game 108
46.07 Offensive FG% 47.14
80.24 Offensive FT% 77.64
35.56 Offensive 3PT% 37.7
44.54 Defensive FG% 44.52
73.88 Defensive FT% 77.35
34.77 Defensive 3PT% 32.9

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Picks

The Celtics split their last 10 games at 5-5, while the Heat are 6-4 over that stretch. Legal betting sites are anticipating a close match-up in South Beach, making sure the spread is as close as possible in the event of a tight ball game.

Moneyline: Pick the Heat at -155. I like Miami’s chances against Boston at home. They are 21-2 at triple-A and Butler is set for a big night since Tatum will likely sit more games with a groin injury.

ATS: Bet on the Heat to cover the 1-point spread. Since the spread is adjusted this close, the winner will also cover the spread. In this case, it’s the Heat.

TOTALs: Pick the OVER at 216.5 points. The Celtics are one of the top defensive teams in the league, but allowing the Pelicans to score 123 points means their defense is slipping.

Score Prediction: 116 – 111 Heat