San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 10/11/24 – The highly anticipated conclusion of the National League Division Series promises to be extremely interesting as the San Diego Padres (93-69) will play the weather Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64) in Game 5. Though tied 2-2, this last game will be hosted at Dodger Stadium on a cold Friday night bringing a charge that cannot be measured in any unit. One’s attention is not only on the players’ performance but also on the MLB latest betting picks with this particular game regarded as one of the highest points of the season.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 10/11/24
| When: | Friday, October 11, 2024 at 8:08 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Dodger Stadium |
| TV: | FOX, ESPN |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 10/11/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | +1.5 (-180) | 8 over (-110) | +120 |  |
| Dodgers | -1.5 (+160) | 8 under (-110) | -140 | |
| ||||
https://twitter.com/Padres/status/1844580503346929798
The betting odds reflect a slight favoritism towards the Los Angeles Dodgers, with a -140 on the moneyline compared to the Padres at +120. The spread and total suggest a closely contested match, likely to see a higher scoreline as indicated by the balanced odds on the over and under.
Yu Darvis (7-3, 3.31 ERA) vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (7-2, 3.00 ERA)
Yu Darvis has been a mainstay of the Padres pitching rotation with a 3.31 earned run average and a win-loss record of 7-3. This season, he did not surrender based on misplaced gameplay as he allowed only a 1.07 WHIP in 81.2 innings pitched. As a high-pressure player, it helps that Darvis is good at collecting 78 Ks while limiting bases on balls at 22. However, he might want to be cautious against a potent hitting Dodgers team as he has given up 12 round trips, which tends to be his Achilles’ heel.
On the other hand, Yoshinobu Yamamoto has equally impressed Dodgers pitching Yordan Alvarez, who holds a record of seven wins and two losses with an excellent ERA of 3.00. His 1.11 WHIP and 105 strikeouts over 90 innings further demonstrate his athleticism on the mound. Yamamoto also excels with his control as he has only allowed a total of 7 hits and 7 home runs this season. His role will be pertinent when he faces the San Diego Padres who have proven that they do score when the need arises.
Padres Power Play: Analyzing San Diego’s Offensive Strategy
The San Diego Padres have demonstrated robust batting this season, with a team average of .263 and impressive slugging at .420, thanks to 190 home runs. Their ability to get on base (.324 OBP) and apply pressure through strategic hits and runs has been key to their success. In this decisive game, the Padres’ offense must capitalize on their speed and power to crack the Dodgers’ pitching. The matchup against Yamamoto will be pivotal, as exploiting any rare lapses in his performance could tilt the game in their favor.
Dodgers’ Dominance at the Plate: A Home Run Haven
The Los Angeles Dodgers excel with their pitching and shine with their bats, evidenced by a staggering 233 home runs and a higher on-base percentage (.335) than the Padres. Their slugging percentage, at .446, stands out, indicating their batters’ ability to drive the ball deep and score effectively. In facing Darvish, the Dodgers must leverage their power-hitting capabilities, especially from their core sluggers, to make impactful plays that could define the game’s outcome.
Trends
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games.
San Diego are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games.
San Diego are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against LA Dodgers.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego’s last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Diego’s last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers’ last 8 games.
LA Dodgers are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers’ last 5 games against San Diego.
Total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Dodgers’ last 11 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Dodgers’ last 12 games when playing at home against San Diego.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Prediction
Both the analytical and betting trends indicate that this should be a high-scoring affair, and therefore, betting on the OVER in total runs is likely to be profitable. The two teams have been great at exceeding expectations set on them in terms of scoring, especially in the matches held at Dodger Stadium. Therefore, considering the offensive displays shown during the series, this match will probably be no different.
As far as team performance is concerned, baseball betting on the Dodgers who have a home field advantage and a better bullpen is a safer option. Based on their power hitting ability and even the composition of their unit, they are expected to beat the spread. For people who are interested in placing their bets, there are several options and the best one would be to take up the services of a top online sportsbook where you will get the best odds and additional bet options like player prop.
Score Prediction: Dodgers 6, Padres 4.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: October 11, 2024
Last updated: March 25, 2025