Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 9/22/24 – An upcoming game of interest in the multi-packed calendar of the MLB is the Philadelphia Phillies’ match against the New York Mets scheduled on a calm Sunday night. This game serves to highlight the rivalry and fighting spirit in both clubs and is essential for playoff positioning. The entire event will be aired live on ESPN making sure that viewers are glued to their TV sets for this important event. Those fans of legal online betting will also find a lot of events to bet on for this particular game.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 9/22/24
| When: | Sunday, September 22, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Citi Field |
| TV: | ESPN |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 9/22/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -1.5 (+113) | 6.5 over (-128) | -161 |  |
| Mets | +1.5 (-137) | 6.5 under (+100) | +136 | |
| ||||
Whew 😅 pic.twitter.com/Btj31fmErB
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) September 21, 2024
The Phillies come into the game as the favorites, with odds reflecting their strong season performance. However, the Mets, with their impressive home record and recent upswing, present a solid bet, especially with the spread offering a cushion. The total of 6.5 suggests a lower-scoring game, possibly influenced by the pitching duel we’re anticipating.
Zack Wheeler (16-6, 2.56 ERA) vs. Tylor Megill (4-5, 4.08 ERA)
Zack Wheeler has made himself invaluable in the ebb and flow of the daily grind which involves the pitchers. He has successfully pitched for 186.2 innings with an earned run average of 2.56 and an era of 0.95 and he has never been the loser on the mound. He’s a tough opponent because he doesn’t allow hits and has a high strikeouts number (205 fails). That efficiency can also be seen as he is generally in command and has issued only 49 walks this year. This season, there have been more than 57 games played, and having a pitcher like Wheeler on the mound is likely to win turnover tipped to Philadelphia.
On the other hand, Tylor Megill has not had a very productive season for the Mets recording 4.08 ERA and 1.26 WHIP with 68.1 innings on the mound. Nevertheless, it is worth noting that he has been dominant on the mound recording 77 strikeouts. His weakness, especially for home runs (6 HRs allowed) and his high number of walks issued (28 BBs) are areas that a powerful Phillies lineup will succeed in taking advantage of. The difference in pitchers pitching delivery tactics and how well they will be implemented to affect the pace of the game will be diversely impactful.
Philadelphia Phillies Team Stats Analysis
The Phillies have a .258 batting average along with a .425 slugging percentage that justifies the presence of a solid and power-packed batting order. They have been able to score runs as well with the home runs numbering 189 and the runs scored numbering 754 this season. Most of the runs come from their on-base percentage of .326 which also reflects some sort of systematic and controlled approach which would be necessary against the likes of Megill albeit his propensity of issuing walks. How well the Phillies hit and lift the ball will be very important especially when there are cracks in the Mets pitching.
New York Mets Team Stats Analysis
The Mets, not far behind, have compiled a .248 batting average and a slightly lower slugging percentage of .420. However, their home run tally stands at 201, indicating a significant threat from their power hitters. With a home record of 11-2 in their last 13 games, the Mets have shown they can be formidable opponents at Citi Field. Their ability to draw walks (558 this season) also positions them well against a pitcher like Wheeler, who, despite his control, will face a lineup capable of capitalizing on any mistakes.
Trends
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
Philadelphia are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.
Phillies are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games against NY Mets.
Philadelphia are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia’s last 12 games against an opponent in the National League.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets’ last 5 games.
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets’ last 6 games against Philadelphia.
NY Mets are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets’ last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Betting Prediction
Passionate sports betting enthusiasts are partially based on available information and betting lines at this level and thus, this matchup is expected to be intense. Due to Zack Wheeler being in good form and the historical records recording the Phillies over the Mets, a close win for the Phillies looks likely. However, from the recent performances, the Mets are likely to put up a fight despite the set odds due to their home advantage.
When comparing who is a better option when wagering, the Met’s betting on the spread most definitely stands a better chance. As for prop bets, taking a closer look into Wheeler’s total strikeout numbers may pay off as well, and given these two trends, the over-on total runs may also be worthwhile. Hence this free MLB prediction foresees a tough game with a flat advantage to the Phillies, only that Wheeler has the case.
Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Mets 3.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: September 21, 2024
Last updated: March 30, 2025