Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 10/9/24 – As the stakes increase in the MLB playoffs, the Philadelphia Phillies (95-67) play Game 4 of the NLDS against the New York Mets (89-73) at Citi Field. As the Mets are edging the series 2-1, this game is important to both sides of the divide. The Phillies, desperate to level the scores, now have no choice but to emerge victorious in an away fixture. For those eager to enhance their watching pleasure, there is excitement to be found at the best casino sites, similar to the potency this postseason game offers.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 10/9/24
| When: | Wednesday, October 9, 2024, at 5:08 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Citi Field |
| TV: | FS1, ESPN |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 10/9/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -1.5 (+149) | 7.5 over (-105) | -112 |  |
| Mets | +1.5 (-169) | 7.5 under (-115) | +102 | |
| ||||
Hold up, let him get that pic.twitter.com/ehTPiLr3YG
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) October 8, 2024
The odds reflect a tight contest, with the Phillies slightly favored on the moneyline but the Mets given the edge on the spread. The over/under is set at 7.5, which suggests a moderately high-scoring game given both teams’ recent trends.
Ranger Suarez (12-8, 3.46 ERA) vs. Jose Quintana (10-10, 3.75 ERA)
All season long, Ranger Suarez of the Phillies has proven to be a reliable cornerstone. To date, Suarez has shown both durability and control, posting a 3.46 ERA and 1.2 WHIP over 150.2 innings pitched. Staying in the game due to number of walks given in the prior seasons (41 this season) and striking out 145 hitters qualifies him as a key player in this tough match. Controlling the pace of the game and getting through tough innings will be important for Suarez – especially against a Mets team that has been tough to beat at Citi Field.
Jose Quintana on the Mets end starts an equally interesting story. He is supported by a solid record of 10 wins 10 defeats and an ERA of 3.75 through the course of 170.1 innings throwing consistent games with the ability to go deep into games pitched a notch. However, Quintana has a higher base on balls (63 walks) which may work against him considering the Phillies hit’s make the most of any pitcher’s mistakes. His past experience in playoffs and his attitude would be tested as he faced a batting order which is ready to pounce on any given chance.
Phillies’ Powerhouse Performance
The Philadelphia Phillies have showcased a formidable offensive lineup this season, marked by a .257 batting average and a powerful display of 198 home runs. Their ability to get on base, evidenced by a .325 OBP and their slugging prowess (.425 SLG), makes them a threat in any game setting. The challenge for the Phillies has been consistency, particularly in converting scoring opportunities into runs, a key aspect to watch in this matchup.
Mets’ Strategic Play
The New York Mets, while slightly trailing in batting average (.246) compared to the Phillies, have notched 207 home runs, outpacing their opponents in the power department. Their strategy has often revolved around timely hits rather than consistent on-base performance, as reflected in their .319 OBP. The Mets’ pitching staff, with a collective 3.96 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP, will need to be at their best to curb the Phillies’ aggressive batting lineup.
Trends
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games.
Philadelphia are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.
Philadelphia are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against NY Mets.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets’ last 6 games.
NY Mets are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets’ last 7 games against Philadelphia.
NY Mets are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets’ last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Betting Prediction
Given the study of the two teams’ performance as well as the recent betting patterns and places, this game is bound to be high scoring and hence the OVER on the 7.5 total is plausible. The Phillies have a potent offense, but have been more inconsistent lately, especially when playing the Mets.
With regard to the Mets’ home form and their finishing ability, they come out as the best option in this particular matchup. Wager on the Mets to cover the spread and wager on the total of runs scored in the game going over the line. With respect to the MLB postseason prediction today, the Mets are likely to win an evenly contested match but win in the end.
Score Prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: October 9, 2024
Last updated: March 30, 2025