New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals 10/9/24 – The stage is ready for the most anticipated matchup in Game 3 of the ALDS as the New York Yankees (94-68) meet up with the Kansas City Royals (86-76) at the Kauffman Stadium on Wednesday night. With the series at one win apiece, this game looks crucial for both bidding teams. As always, details on where the games will take place will be made available courtesy of the numerous online best sportsbooks that provide odds in real time during these games.
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals 10/9/24
| When: | Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 7:08 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Kauffman Stadium |
| TV: | TBS, ESPN |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals 10/9/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -1.5 (+139) | 8.5 over (-102) | -120 |  |
| Royals | +1.5 (-172) | 8.5 under (-125) | +102 | |
| ||||
And that's why he's won a Gold Glove every single year as a Major Leaguer.#ForTheLand | #GuardsBall pic.twitter.com/A7qaevG0xo
— Cleveland Guardians (@CleGuardians) October 7, 2024
This table shows the current betting odds which favor the Yankees slightly in the moneyline while the Royals are favored to cover the spread. The over/under sits at 8.5, which suggests the bookmakers anticipate a moderate scoring game.
Clarke Schmidt (5-5, 2.85 ERA) vs. Seth Lugo (16-9, 3.00 ERA)
Clarke Schmidt comes into this very important contest after doing very well in the regular season with a decent earned run average of 2.85 from 85.1 innings. This has also come with a strong strikeout rate and a WHIP of 1.18, factors that can affect the outcome of tonight’s game. This factor is particularly useful against a team such as the Royals that has shown a measure of hitting power this season although it has not been consistent and allows the opponent only eight home runs through one regular season.
Seth Lugo has been another fish that doesn’t drag in the Royals performance, having finished the season 16-9 and a 3.00 ERA over 206.2 innings pitched. His endurance shows he has no trouble with fanning batters while keeping his WHIP at 1.09, which means he can cope with pressure. The issue, however, for Lugo might be tending to a well-known Yankees lineup that can hit out of the ballpark and get on base, which could call into question Lugo’s determination during this playoff period.
New York Yankees: A Deep Dive into the Stats
The Yankees have displayed a powerful offensive lineup throughout the regular season, notching a .248 batting average and a significant 237 home runs. Their slugging percentage stands at .429, complemented by a .333 OBP, indicating their proficiency in both power hitting and base-reaching capabilities. With such a lineup, the Yankees are poised to capitalize on any pitching errors by the Royals, particularly given their strong performance in recent games against Kansas City and on the road.
Kansas City Royals: Analyzing the Home Team’s Performance
Kansas City mirrors the Yankees in batting average but trails in power-hitting with only 170 home runs. Their on-base percentage at .306 suggests struggles sustaining rallies, which could be detrimental in a playoff setting. The Royals’ pitching stats are nearly identical to those of the Yankees, with a team ERA of 3.76 and a WHIP of 1.24. The focus for the Royals will be to leverage their home field advantage, despite recent struggles at Kauffman Stadium, to turn the tide in the series.
Trends
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’ last 7 games.
NY Yankees are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games against Kansas City.
Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
NY Yankees are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees’ last 6 games against an opponent in the American League Central Division division.
Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 7 games.
Kansas City are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 6 games against NY Yankees.
Kansas City are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games at home.
Kansas City are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against NY Yankees.
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals Betting Prediction
While analyzing stats and the development of the latest trends, there is a probability that the Yankees will win this suspenseful series. Unless Lugo has one of his games of the season, their offense and Schmidt’s arm may be too much for the Royals. It would be wise for bettors to consider New York Yankees on the moneyline given the minimal pitching advantage and the line-up’s capacity to score.
While a bet on a player’s performance, say a prop against total strikeouts or home runs could have been nice spice, some feelings still prevail to go with the under on total runs scored, especially taking into consideration how each of the teams has pitched of late. Regarding the MLB prediction today, these teams will likely fight hard for every ball with Yankees narrowly winning in the end.
Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Royals 3.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: October 8, 2024
Last updated: March 30, 2025