New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals 10/10/24 – The fourth matchup of the ALDS between the New York Yankees and Kansas City Royals goes down at Yankee Stadium with the Yankees at a 2-1 lead. This being the dividing line of the postseason means every jurisdiction must be prepared for the advancing. This game will live up to its precedents and connotation – the thrill of excitement. For those in search of MLB free prediction today, there is ample potential in this matchup out of the divergent strengths and recent forms of the teams.
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals 10/10/24
| When: | Thursday, October 10, 2024, at 8:08 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Kauffman Stadium |
| TV: | TBS, ESPN |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals 10/10/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -1.5 (+107) | 7.5 over (-127) | -155 |  |
| Royals | +1.5 (-132) | 7.5 under (-101) | +130 | |
| ||||
See you tomorrow. #RepBX pic.twitter.com/kAj3OUL0XW
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) October 10, 2024
The Yankees enter as favorites with a moneyline of -155 and a spread of -1.5 (+107), suggesting confidence in their ability to cover the spread by at least two runs. Conversely, the Royals, with a moneyline of +130, are underdogs at home but have a supportive spread of +1.5 (-132), hinting at a potentially tight contest. Betting trends favor an UNDER on the total, reflecting both teams’ recent performances.
Gerrit Cole (8-5, 3.41 ERA) vs. Michael Wacha (13-8, 3.35 ERA)
Cole Gerrit, who at most requires an ace as they have an 8-5 record with a good 3.41 ERA, has been fundamental for their pitching department. Regardless of his poor win-loss balance, they dominated games with him on the mound with a 1.13 WHIP and 90 strikeouts in 95 innings pitched. His main assets are a powerful fastball and a rigid slider, and throwing these pitches in clutch situations usually makes it hard for the hitter to put the ball in play. Still, the only cause of worry could be his unwillingness to give away home runs against a power packed Royals lineup.
Michael Wacha has proven to be a dependable starter in the rotation for the Royals going 13-8 on the season while recording an excellent ERA of 3.35. He stashed a 1.19 WHIP over 166.2 innings pitched along with fanning 145, thus proving he can go long and strike hard as well. Wacha’s best weapon is the blend of fastballs and changeups he has in his arsenal to keep batters guessing. Notwithstanding this concern, his walk rate is somewhat on the higher side than Coles and this could worry Wacha in future games, where walks may come back to haunt against the Yankees.
Yankee Power: A Closer Look at the Stats
The Yankees’ offensive stats this season have been formidable. With a team batting average of .248 and a slugging percentage of .429, they’ve racked up 815 runs and 237 home runs, showcasing their ability to change the game with a single swing. Their .333 on-base percentage indicates a disciplined approach at the plate, making them a persistent threat to any pitching staff. These stats underline why the Yankees are favorites going into Game 4, with their powerful lineup capable of exploiting any pitching mistakes.
Royal Challenge: Analyzing Kansas City’s Numbers
Kansas City matches the Yankees with a similar .248 batting average but trails in power with only 170 home runs and a slugging percentage of .403. Their lower on-base percentage of .306 reflects less frequent baserunners, which could be crucial in tight postseason games. While their pitching stats are comparable to the Yankees, with a 3.76 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, the Royals will need to leverage their pitching finesse and defensive skills to counter the Yankees’ offensive firepower.
Trends
New York Yankees Betting Trends
NY Yankees are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games.
Yankees are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games against Kansas City.
NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees’ last 5 games against an opponent in the American League Central Division division.
Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City’s last 8 games.
Kansas City are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games against NY Yankees.
Kansas City are 0-7 SU in their last 7 games at home.
Kansas City are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees.
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals Betting Prediction
After analyzing the situation, it appears that the Yankees will win Game 4, and may win within the range as well, due to its visible stunning offense and Cole’s brilliant pitching. In this case, a bet on the Yankees to win and the total runs to stay UNDER would be advisable.
Still, expect the Royals to cause an upset if Wacha is able to limit his walks and their bats wake up at the critical moments. Betting on prop for strikeouts home runs or individual performance bets can be worthwhile. Keep in mind these components whenever evaluating the top sports betting sites for great betting opportunities.
Score Prediction: Yankees 4, Royals 2.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: October 10, 2024
Last updated: March 26, 2025