New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians 10/19/24 – With the ALCS s matchup between New York Yankees (94-68) and Cleveland Guardians (92-69) in Game 5, all the attention is now switching to Progressive Field for Saturday. With the Yankees already leading the series 3-1, a win for the Yankees or finally progressing to the last stage of the World Series is imminent which makes this game very crucial. MLB free predictions for the day also suggest that this could be a decisive game for the Yankees.
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians 10/19/24
| When: | Saturday, October 19, 2024, at 8:08 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Progressive Field |
| TV: | TBS |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians 10/19/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -1.5 (+150) | 7.5 over (-102) | -111 |  |
| Guardians | +1.5 (-185) | 7.5 under (-125) | -106 | |
| ||||
Goodnight 👋#RepBX pic.twitter.com/aNEEW2eeYH
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) October 19, 2024
The Yankees come into Game 5 as slight favorites in the moneyline at -111, suggesting a tight contest expected by the oddsmakers. The spread gives the Yankees a -1.5 advantage, with a more profitable +150 return for bettors believing in a larger margin of victory. The total is set at 7.5, with slight favor towards the over, reflecting expectations of offensive action given the series’ history.
Carlos Rodon (16-9 W-L, 3.96 ERA) vs. Tanner Bibee (12-8 W-L, 3.47 ERA)
Carlos Rodon’s contribution to the Yankees is immense this season, recording a 3.96 ERA on 195 strikeouts in as many as 175 innings. He has this remarkable ability to even overpower the mound in turning crucial games in favor of his team using a combination of fastballs and sliders. Although his propensity for home runs (31 this season) has been somewhat erratic, his style of aggressive pitching would be in line with the Yankees’ approach to fielding.
On a more positive note, Tanner Bibee from the Guardians has a decent season with a 3.47 ERA and 187 strikeouts. Following his footsteps, his control and walk ratio (44 walks in 173.2 innings) are also pretty good and that makes him different from Rodon. His effectiveness is going to be critical in containing the Yankees’ deep lineup and may help the Guardians stay in the hunt for a longer series.
With these two pitchers going head-to-head, Rodon will have to manage the game and take care not to make poor outside pitches which could result in a home run. On the other hand, with Bibee, the problem will be not succumbing to pithcing against a lineup who is quite good at making the most of pitchers’ blunders. The winner of this pitching match can very well set the tempo and result of Game 5.
Yankees’ Offensive Powerhouse: A Closer Look
The New York Yankees boast a formidable batting lineup, with a team batting average of .248 and an impressive tally of 237 home runs this season. Their slugging percentage at .429 underscores their ability to convert hits into significant scoring opportunities. Key players have consistently delivered in clutch situations, which speaks to their depth and offensive strategy. This offensive prowess will be crucial as they face a pitcher like Bibee, who has contained teams effectively throughout the season.
Guardians’ Strategic Play: Analyzing the Underdogs
Despite being the underdogs, the Cleveland Guardians have competently held their ground with a team ERA of 3.61 and a commendable WHIP of 1.2. Their strategic approach to games, focusing on minimizing opponents’ scoring chances while capitalizing on their own, has seen them through tight contests. With 185 home runs and a batting average of .238, they might not match the Yankees’ offensive output but certainly compete fiercely with strategic hits and runs.
Trends
New York Yankees Betting Trends
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Cleveland.
NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees’ last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American League.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 6 games.
Total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland’s last 9 games against NY Yankees.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cleveland’s last 19 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees.
Cleveland are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the American League East Division division.
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Betting Prediction
Taking into account the strong batting side of the Yankees and Rodon’s experience on the mound, it is advised to back the Yankees to cover the spread. The game is expected to have enough runs whereby tipping the OVER on 7.5 seems to be a tempting option. However, the close moneyline odds suggest the game will be very competitive and one which has a high likelihood of coming down to the wire.
Betting on the Yankees to win straight up and The OVER on runs is also a good option for those wishing to place bets. Best to place individual player bets for total bases or total strikeouts as well, it is a game of this importance after all. The best online casinos will offer bettors a number of options with regard to this exciting contest.
Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Guardians 3.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: October 19, 2024
Last updated: March 30, 2025