New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians 10/18/24 – As Game 4 of the American League Championship Series (ALCS) approaches, the scene is set for a clash between the New York Yankees (94-68) and Cleveland Guardians (92-69) at Progressive Field which is bound to be an exhilarating match-up. The Yankees are in a good position going into this game as they currently lead the series 2-1. This game can be watched live on TBS on Friday and those who cannot make it can be assured to catch the action. This is the perfect platform for free baseball predictions as the contest has a great deal to do with the intense rivalry.
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians 10/18/24
| When: | Friday, October 18, 2024, at 8:08 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Progressive Field |
| TV: | TBS |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians 10/18/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -1.5 (+139) | 7.5 over (-114) | -123 |  |
| Guardians | +1.5 (-172) | 7.5 under (-114) | +105 | |
| ||||
Touch 'em all, G. pic.twitter.com/QklkFffsSe
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) October 17, 2024
The betting odds present the Yankees as slight favorites in the moneyline at -123, reflecting their strong series lead and recent performance. The spread at -1.5 for +139 suggests confidence in their ability to win by at least two runs. The total, set at 7.5, leans slightly towards the under, consistent with the pitching duel expected.
Luis Gil (15-7, 3.50 ERA) vs. Gavin Williams (3-10, 4.86 ERA)
Luis Gil has been outstanding for the Yankees considering he registered a 15-7 record with a 3.50 ERA this season. In 151.2 innings, he has struck out 171 batters while walking only 7 a testament to his control and effective fastball-slider combination. With a low 1.19 WHIP, easily allowing only 104 hits in the season, his stunning performance makes him a hard pitcher to face for the Guardians.
On the contrary, Gavin Williams of the Guardians has a poor record of 3-10 with a 4.86 ERA through 76 innings, which shows he is not very consistent. His high WHIP of 1.37 and problems with consistency and control might be a problem for the Yankees despite a decent strikeout total of 79.
There’s reliable power in Gil and there’s just Williams who is looking to make a strong comeback. The pressure of rationalizing the offensive threat by the Yankees lies on Williams, and he has to perform really well to make the series even.
Yankees’ Offensive Powerhouse: A Statistical Insight
The Yankees’ lineup has been nothing short of explosive this season, boasting a .248 batting average with 237 home runs, leading to 815 runs scored. Their .429 slugging percentage is a testament to their deep lineup, capable of changing the game with a single swing. This power-hitting team thrives on pressuring opposing pitchers, as evidenced by their impressive stats against the Guardians in recent games.
Guardians’ Strategic Play: Analyzing the Underdogs
Cleveland’s approach this season has emphasized contact and strategic hitting, evidenced by a slightly lower .238 batting average and 185 home runs. However, their strength lies in their ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities, despite a lower on-base percentage of .307. The Guardians will need to leverage their speed and defensive skills to counter the Yankees’ slugging prowess, focusing on small ball tactics to chip away at New York’s pitchers.
Trends
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees’ last 6 games.
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Cleveland.
Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
NY Yankees are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 5 games.
Total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland’s last 8 games against NY Yankees.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cleveland’s last 18 games at home.
Cleveland are 6-13 SU in their last 19 games when playing at home against NY Yankees.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 6 games against an opponent in the American League.
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Betting Prediction
Looking at current trends and past results, one could conclude that the Yankees are about to go up three to one in the series. Given their deep batting order and Gil on the mound, they are indeed the favorites. The Guardians, however, have the ability to pull an upset, especially with their use of tactics and home ground advantage. In terms of total runs considering a total runs under for prop bets may not be foolish owing to the playoff atmosphere and the kind of pitchers who will be on the mound.
As far as bettors are concerned, it would be unwise not to side with the Yankees on the moneyline as they appear to be a sure winner, though there is value on the spread for the Guardians should it be a closer game than anticipated. When you are looking to place a bet, you can also take a look at the best online betting sites on the MLB playoffs that offer live betting and changing odds as well.
Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Guardians 3.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: October 18, 2024
Last updated: March 30, 2025