New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians 10/17/24 – With postseason pressure building, the New York Yankees (94-68) lock horns with the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) in an important Game 3 of the American League Championship Series at Progressive Field. The Yankees lead the series 2-0 and are confident that extending their lead will bring them closer to the World Series. Baseball expert predictions expect the Yankees to win — they have excelled this season and are currently in good form, but as every postseason scenario shows us, nothing is done until the last out is called.
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians 10/17/24
| When: | Thursday, October 17, 2024, at 5:08 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Progressive Field |
| TV: | TBS |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians 10/17/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -1.5 (+147) | 7 over (-120) | -123 |  |
| Guardians | +1.5 (-185) | 7 under (-108) | +105 | |
| ||||
On the road again.#RepBX pic.twitter.com/Ot0wFTqXav
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) October 16, 2024
The betting odds reflect the Yankees as slight favorites, with a moneyline of -123 against the Guardians’ +105, indicating a tight match-up. The spread and total suggest a low-scoring affair, aligning with both teams’ recent under trends in key games. Bettors might look at these lines as an opportunity to capitalize on a potentially close, low-scoring game, especially given the underwhelming offensive performances from the Guardians.
Clarke Schmidt (5-5, 2.85 ERA) vs. Matthew Boyd (2-2, 2.72 ERA)
The regular season stats of Clarke Schmidt portray him as a pitcher who has kept runs off the scoreboard, which is a valuable trait in post-season sports. Schmidt’s pressure handling capacity is measuring up to 2.85 ERA and 1.18 WHIP during the 85.1 innings of baseball, making him an important member of the Yankees team in Game 3. His 93 strikeouts do imply he can, at times be aggressive and overpower batters. His 30 recorded walks suggest he has control issues, which might be avenues for the Guardians to exploit.
In contrast, Matthew Boyd has been a pleasant surprise for the Guardians, considering the number of innings pitched (39.2) because of the injury. His 2.72 ERA and 1.13 WHIP are very respectable, which attests to his ability to deliver when he is fit. Being a confident thrower of the ball, Boyd has only one test when going against a Yankees batting order that possesses power throughout. Allowing lower homers may prove vital for keeping the game competitive.
Yankee Power Surge: A Closer Look at the Bronx Bombers
The offensive statistics of the New York Yankees indicate a team that is quite pull-hitter dependent with their 237 home runs and .429 slugging percentage during the regular season being suggestive. They will need to score off their plate appearances – against a pitcher like Boyd who does not concede many home runs, this will come in handy. An on-base percentage of .333 shows the Yankees have a hitting order that can be patient and draw walks, making things difficult for the Guardians pack.
Guardians’ Strategic Play: Analyzing Cleveland’s Approach
The Cleveland Guardians have had a less robust offensive output, with 185 home runs and a .395 slugging percentage. Their strategy does not hinge on power but on making contact and utilizing speed, as shown by their slightly lower team batting average (.238) and on-base percentage (.307). Against a strikeout pitcher like Schmidt, the Guardians will need to focus on putting the ball in play and exploiting any Yankees’ defensive lapses.
Trends
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees’ last 5 games.
NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.
NY Yankees are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against Cleveland.
Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland’s last 15 games.
Cleveland are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 7 games against NY Yankees.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cleveland’s last 17 games at home.
Cleveland are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees.
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Betting Prediction
With the series being as it is and betting trends evolving, it’s safe to say that the wiser heads probably will be placing their bets on the Yankees to go 3-0 up in this series. Having the capability of coming big in quick moments and considering how they have dominated the Guardians, especially in their previous away games, provides reasonable substance for betting.
The safer bet would however be on the under, considering the current trends of both teams and the pitching matchup that seems to be heads above the rest. Prop bets might have some sweat equity in striking artifacts and innings pitched in particular, with Schmidt having substantial strikeout rates. As for the bets, people will want to place them with the best sportsbooks online which shows there will be more odds than one for every aspect for this crucial encounter.
Score Prediction: Yankees 4, Guardians 2.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: October 17, 2024
Last updated: March 26, 2025