New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles 7/12/24 – As the Major League Baseball season heats up, the New York Yankees (56-38) are set to clash with the Baltimore Orioles (57-35) in a highly anticipated match at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This game not only brings two top teams face-to-face but also offers exciting opportunities for MLB top free picks, given their close standings and recent performances.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles 7/12/24
| When: | Friday, July 12, 2024, at 7:05 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD |
| TV: | ESP+ |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles 7/12/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -1.5 (+113) | 9 over (-127) | -137 |  |
| Orioles | +1.5 (-139) | 9under (-101) | +116 | |
| ||||
Tie Game. Juan Soto. 🔥 pic.twitter.com/ImhLaWoHha
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) July 11, 2024
The betting odds paint a picture of a tight contest. The Yankees, despite their superior record, are slight favorites in the moneyline at -137. The spread suggests a close game, with the Orioles given a 1.5 run advantage. For totals, the line is set at 9, with a leaning towards the over, indicating expectations of a high-scoring affair.
Gerrit Cole (1-1, 6.75 ERA) vs. Cade Povich (1-3, 6.51 ERA)
Gerrit Cole, the former Sox’ rotation ace, has also not lived up to form this season. That is rather poor compared to what fans have seen from the star pitcher, who has posted a 6.75 ERA and 1.62 WHIP over just 17.1 innings pitched. Nevertheless, he has not lost his ability to strikeout in the attack with a record of having made 19 strikeouts. Thus, the main issue that Cole has had throughout his game is control which manifested in the 8 walks and 5 home runs. He had been here before and such experience could be very crucial in organizing a performance to overcome this setback against the Orioles.
On the pitcher’s mound of the opposing team, Cade Povich has a poor 6.51 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in his 27.2 innings. Another problem Povich has had similar to Cole is control and the question of home runs with 6 allowed this season. However, his ability to get strikeouts is lower, and this could turn into a problem if facing the highly aggressive Yankees’ hitting.
Analyzing the Yankees’ Performance Metrics
The Yankees are as good on the bullpen as they are at the plate with a .247 batting average and rely heavily on power with 132 home runs. Their batting average for the slugging is currently at .424 and an average on-base for the battering is .328. Pitching is a strength that has the team’s ERA at 3.58 and WHIP at 1.21 symbolizing the good work the team is doing in giving the opponents a low batting average of .225. Analyzing these indicators it is possible to presume that, in spite of some fluctuations, the Yankees can use a pitching advantage.
Orioles’ Offensive and Defensive Metrics
Baltimore scores slightly better than New York while batting with a .255 average while maintaining a powerful .457 slugging ratio with 147 home runs. However, their on base percentage is lower at .315. BBally, they are almost as good as the Yankees as far as the pitching is concerned with the 3.62 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Of course, their capability to control the number of walks 267 against New York 311 may also be decisive in a game that will largely depend on pitchers’ performances.
Trends
New York Yankees Betting Trends
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
New York Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 26-24 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Yankees’ last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 23 of Yankees’ 44 last games at home
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Baltimore Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 25-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles’ last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Orioles’ 48 last games at home
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Betting Picks
This matchup promises to be a close and high-scoring game, with both teams showing vulnerabilities in their starting pitching but strength in hitting. The recommended bet would be on the OVER 9, considering both teams’ recent trends and the pitchers’ susceptibility to giving up runs.
For those looking at moneyline or spread bets, the Orioles present a valuable pick given the favorable odds (+116) and their performance at home. As for prop bets, considering the current form and pitching matchups, betting on total home runs could also offer value. For those looking to place these bets, checking out premier casino sites might offer additional insights and odds.
Score Prediction: Orioles 6, Yankees 5.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: July 11, 2024
Last updated: May 20, 2025