New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies 10/6/24 – This Sunday, the New York Mets will go head to head with the Philadelphia Phillies in the second National League Division Series match, which will surely add to their intriguing playoff series. This time, the location is Citizens Bank Park, and the first pitch will be thrown at 4:08 PM ET, so fans should prepare for an exciting game. There will be games between the teams, and tips for betting on games, like some MLB latest picks today, will be useful given how the two teams end the season with different prospects, but prudent betting placers would find the performance promising.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies 10/6/24
| When: | Sunday, October 6, 2024, at 4:08 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Citizens Bank Park |
| TV: | FS1, ESPN |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies 10/6/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | +1.5 (-154) | 7.5 over (-120) | +142 |  |
| Phillies | -1.5 (+134) | 7.5 under (+100) | -155 | |
| ||||
Victory formation 🙌 #MetsWin | #LGM pic.twitter.com/bPZ2DiYVfu
— New York Mets (@Mets) October 6, 2024
The current odds favor the Phillies slightly regarding the moneyline at -155, indicating oddsmakers’ confidence in their home advantage and regular-season performance. However, the Mets’ recent overperformance against the spread suggests that the +1.5 spread could offer value for cautious bettors. Given both teams ‘ recent scoring patterns, the total is set at 7.5, with trends suggesting a potential lean towards the Over.
Luis Severino (11-7, 3.91 ERA) vs. Cristopher Sanchez (11-9, 3.32 ERA)
New York Mets pitcher Luis Severino has been steadfast and flexible this season. He pitched 182 innings over that period and had an earned run average of 3.91, which was helped by the number of opponents he managed to strike out (161). Severino’s discipline most apparent in the low free passes (60), allows him to stretch innings however, the 23 home runs shows a weakness against sluggers.
Cristopher Sanchez of the Philadelphia Phillies also had a good season with 3.32 ERA in 181.2 innings pitched. For instance, he has exhibited control (only 44 walks issued over his career) and has avoided giving up home runs (only 11 HR allowed). Sanchez is known for his lower ERA and WHIP which both highlight his ability to prevent opponent from scoring and that will be crucial come playoff time.
Mets Statistical Spotlight: Pivotal Performances and Projections
The Mets have been consistent with their batting, holding a .246 average and a notable slugging percentage (.415). Their ability to convert hits into runs will be crucial, especially given their 207 home runs this season. The pitching staff, led by Severino, must maintain their collective ERA of 3.96 and WHIP of 1.26 to suppress the Phillies’ hitters.
Phillies Statistical Spotlight: Strengths in Slugging and Pitching
Philadelphia shines with a higher batting average (.257) and an impressive slugging percentage (.425), indicating their capability to produce big plays. Their pitchers, including Sanchez, have compiled a strong season with a team ERA of 3.85 and a WHIP of 1.24, slightly better than the Mets, providing them with a slight edge in controlling the game’s pace.
Trends
New York Mets Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets’ last 6 games.
NY Mets are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Philadelphia.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets’ last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
NY Mets are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games against an opponent in the National League East Division division.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games.
Philadelphia are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games against NY Mets.
Philadelphia are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games when playing at home against NY Mets.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Prediction
This clash of the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies is likely to be a highly competitive match given the recent run of both teams and their desire to get to the playoffs. What comes out of the trend and analysis of the performance of both teams is that it would be prudent to bet on the Mets covering the spread while both teams will go over 7.5 aggregate points which show potential hence leaning their recent games offensive ability.
When it comes to the premier online betting, the Phillies are still regarded as Pre-Season favorites though the value they present is less in comparison to stubborn Mets with a better head to head record recently. If you want to make prop bets, consider changing the focus to the number of strikeouts or key hits. Anticipate a close contest that will likely end with the Phillies edging their opponents in a high scoring affair.
Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 4.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: October 6, 2024
Last updated: March 30, 2025