New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies 10/5/24 – With the MLB playoffs underway, there is a conclusion already lineup between mighty teams the New York Mets, with a record of 89-73, and their opponents, the Philadelphia Phillies, who are 95-67 in Game 1 of the NLDS scheduled later today. There will also be some action, strategy, and heat since the rivalry and importance of the game are apparent. Scheduled for this Saturday in the buzzing atmosphere of Citizen Bank Park, this game is not one for a casual baseball viewer seeking outstanding competition and some betting tips with their latest baseball predictions.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies 10/5/24
| When: | Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 4:08 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Citizens Bank Park |
| TV: | FOX, ESPN |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies 10/5/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | +1.5 (-139) | 7.5 over -102) | +159 |  |
| Phillies | -1.5 (+113) | 7.5 under (-125) | -189 | |
| ||||
ON TO THE NEXT ONE! #MetsWin #LGM pic.twitter.com/TcQYeLLQxq
— New York Mets (@Mets) October 4, 2024
The odds suggest a tilt towards the Phillies as favorites, underscored by their robust home record and the Mets’ struggles on the road against Philadelphia. The spread and moneyline reflect a belief in Philadelphia’s ability to cover, while the over/under total is pegged cautiously, hinting at a potentially tight, low-scoring game.
David Peterson (10-3, 2.9 ERA) vs. Zack Wheeler (16-7, 2.57 ERA)
Stepping up on the mound is David Peterson of the Mets, whose remarkable 10-3 record and a fairly decent 2.9 ERA do not disappoint. With a combination of his 101 strikeouts in 121 innings and a healthy season WHIP of 1.29, one can easily attest that Peterson knows how to handle pressure. Nevertheless, the fact that he sometimes gives up walks could be dangerous against a patient Philadelphia team that usually makes good use of such chances.
On the other hand, Zack Wheeler leads the Phillies pitching department with 16 wins and 7 losses with an ERA of 2.57. Wheeler has been outstanding, accumulating 224 strikeouts with a low WHIP of 0.96 over 200 innings, which is phenomenal as it speaks of his control of the zone. However, he has had some high home run counts, as evidenced by the 20 he has permitted this season; the Mets would try to take advantage of this.
The Power Surge: Mets’ Offensive Tactics
The Mets, though trailing slightly behind the Phillies in batting average and slugging, have shown their power with 207 home runs, a testament to their ability to change the game with one swing. Their on-base percentage (.319) and slugging (.415) will be crucial against Wheeler, who rarely yields walks and capitalizes on striking out aggressive hitters.
Precision and Power: Phillies at the Plate
Philadelphia’s offense boasts a higher batting average (.257), runs scored (784), and a superior slugging percentage (.425). Their balanced approach, fewer strikeouts, and fewer walks conceded reflect a disciplined batting unit ready to capitalize on any pitching errors, making them formidable in maintaining pressure throughout the game.
Trends
New York Mets Betting Trends
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
Mets are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
NY Mets are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the National League East Division division.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets’ last 9 games played in October.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets’ last 9 games played on a Saturday when on the road.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games against NY Mets.
Philadelphia are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games at home.
Philadelphia are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against NY Mets.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Prediction
Looking at the stats, trends and matchups, it is clear that this game could be an exciting contest but may result in fewer scores than the odds suggest. The Mets are the underdogs on paper but they may just use their high home run potential to throw Wheeler off.
As for the betting strategy debate, the Phillies are favored, but the Mets can be worth betting on on the moneyline due to their knack for winning important contests. Book a bet on the total runs under, concerning the strong pitchers’ duel and the high stakes of the playoffs. If one is inclined to try out prop bets, looking at stats for individual players could show possible outcomes for strikeouts and home runs, assisted by the availability of live betting on the top-tier online casino sites.
Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Mets 3.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: October 5, 2024
Last updated: March 30, 2025