New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers 10/2/24 – With the changing season and the postseason heating up, it is time for the New York Mets (89-73) this year, while the Milwaukee Brewers (93-69) may put their hopes into the second game of the National League Wild Card series. This showdown, scheduled for Wednesday night at American Family Field, isn’t only a display of toughness but an interesting source for MLB betting predictions. It has been an emotional roller coaster for both teams throughout the season, and the October clash is set to take place.
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers 10/2/24
| When: | Wednesday, October 2, 2024 at 7:38 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | American Family Field |
| TV: | ESPN, Fubo |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers 10/2/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -1.5 (+163) | 7 over (-127) | -109 |  |
| Brewers | +1.5 (-204) | 7 under (-101) | -109 | |
| ||||
Game 1 dub! #MetsWin #LGM pic.twitter.com/J9nlSfyj3N
— New York Mets (@Mets) October 2, 2024
The betting odds reveal a tightly contested matchup, with both teams carrying a -109 moneyline, indicating oddsmakers’ anticipation of a close game. The Mets, despite a challenging track record against the Brewers, are slightly favored to cover the spread. The over/under is set at 7 runs, reflecting expectations of a pitching duel given recent trends and the strengths of the starting pitchers.
Sean Manaea (12-6, 3.47 ERA) vs. Frankie Montas (3-3, 4.55 ERA)
One of the most dependable pitchers in the Mets’ squad this season has been Sean Manaea. Manaea has a 12-6 win-loss record, achieving an excellent 3.47 ERA in 181.2 innings, and with a WHIP ratio of only 1.08 and 184 strikeouts to boot, he has settled down well into the forefront of the Mets pitching pack. Allowing a meager .230 batting average to the opponents reveals his accuracy and control, indicating that he can be a crushing weapon in this very important playoff game.
Frankie Montas, another player for the Brewers, is quite the opposite. Montas, who enters the Brewers as 3-3 with an ERA of 4.55, has fluctuated up and down this season. In 57.1 innings pitched, he has a decent WHIP of 1.26 with 70 strikeouts, though he has given up 10 home runs, which could be disturbing when pitching against the Mets. This is where he must use the strikeouts as a weapon and limit walks to accomplish the task.
Mets in the Spotlight: Clutch Performances Await
The New York Mets, sporting a .246 batting average and 207 home runs this season, have demonstrated a potent mix of contact hitting and power. Their on-base percentage (.319) and slugging (.415) reflect a lineup capable of changing the game with a single swing. However, their pitching staff’s solid 3.96 ERA and 1.26 WHIP will be crucial in containing the Brewers’ hitters.
Brewers’ Tactical Play: Strategic Hits and Home Runs
Milwaukee counters with a slightly better .248 batting average and a higher on-base percentage of .326. Though they’ve hit fewer home runs (177 compared to the Mets’ 207), their strategic plate appearances and ability to get on base more frequently could play a pivotal role. The Brewers’ superior team ERA of 3.65 and a tighter WHIP of 1.23 suggest their pitching staff might just edge out the Mets in a low-scoring affair.
Trends
New York Mets Betting Trends
NY Mets are 3-12 SU in their last 15 games against Milwaukee.
Mets are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games on the road.
NY Mets are 4-15 SU in their last 19 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets’ last 7 games played in October.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets’ last 6 games played on a Wednesday.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games.
Total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 9 games against NY Mets.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Milwaukee’s last 15 games at home.
Milwaukee are 15-4 SU in their last 19 games when playing at home against NY Mets.
Milwaukee are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the National League East Division division.
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Prediction
With the thorough evaluation and current betting trends, the Milwaukee Brewers still have a small advantage in this contest. The facts and their good record against the Mets at home make them a good wager even at this spread of +1.5. There may be some additional value in Prop bets based only on the strikeouts from the pitchers that day, given the history of how the pitchers have performed during the season.
Regarding wagering on totals, the under total of 7 runs seems a sound option since a good pitching will be exhibited. Ensure you are not missing out on the best odds by looking at different options on the best sportsbook online.
Score Prediction: Brewers 3, Mets 2.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: October 2, 2024
Last updated: March 30, 2025