Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres 10/9/24 – As the postseason heats, Game 4 of the National League Division Series between the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64) and San Diego Padres (93-69) occurs at the Petco Park. With the series poised at 2-1 in favor of the Padres, the Dodgers find themselves in a do or die situation if they are to proceed further. This encounter also provides thrilling play on the baseball diamond and great betting opportunities through the top-tier sportsbook online platforms.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres 10/9/24
| When: | Wednesday, October 9, 2024, at 9:08 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Petco Park |
| TV: | FS1, ESPN |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres 10/9/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | -1.5 (+149) | 8.5 over (-114) | -111 |  |
| Padres | +1.5 (-185) | 8.5 under (-114) | -106 | |
| ||||
🗣️🗣️🗣️ pic.twitter.com/h0niwmZkOR
— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) October 9, 2024
The betting odds reflect a tight contest between the Dodgers and Padres, with a slight edge to the Dodgers on the moneyline. The spread suggests the Dodgers could cover -1.5, appealing to those expecting a rebound from the team to force a Game 5. The total at 8.5 aligns with both teams’ recent high-scoring games, potentially favoring the over.
Landon Knack (3-5, 3.65 ERA) vs. Dylan Cease (14-11, 3.47 ERA)
Landon Knack of the Dodgers has a moderate win-loss record, but he has achieved a pretty decent 3.65 ERA throughout the regular season. This is showcased by his 1.1 WHIP which demonstrates his control over the plate and walks allowed 18 in 69 innings pitched. Nevertheless, his susceptibility to home runs, given that he has given up 14 such losses would worry especially against a formidable Padres team. Knack’s performance tonight is crucial if the Dodgers want to escape elimination.
Dylan Cease, enters this crucial match on the back of decent season figures including a 3.47 earned run average and 1.07 walks plus hits per inning. Cease has established himself as a pitcher who can overpower hitters with 224 strikeouts in 189.1 innings and will be instrumental in the quest to win the series at home for the Padres. The veteran has experience playing under playoff pressure which coupled with his last minute heroics, could swing this game in favor of San Diego.
Dodgers’ Strategic Batting
With a batting average of .258, the Dodgers’ batting line is not as weak as their numbers suggest – they belted 233 homers during the regular season. They also have an OBP of .335 and SLG of .446 which proves it is possible to get on the board as well as knock in runs regularly. However, even with such good numbers, the recent trips by the Dodgers to San Diego – and Petco Park in particular, where they have gone 1-5 in their last 6 games – are likely to provide a mental edge for the opponents tonight.
Padres’ Offensive Consistency
San Diego counters with a slightly better .263 batting average and a more conservative but efficient 190 home runs. Their OBP of .324 and SLG of .420 might slightly trail the Dodgers, but the Padres excel in making the most of their opportunities, especially at home, where they are unbeaten in their last seven games. The Padres’ ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and their pitchers’ knack for strikeouts (1453 this season) positions them favorably for tonight’s matchup.
Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers’ last 7 games.
LA Dodgers are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.
LA Dodgers are 5-10 SU in their last 15 games against San Diego.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Dodgers’ last 10 games on the road.
LA Dodgers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego’s last 6 games.
San Diego are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games against LA Dodgers.
San Diego are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games at home.
San Diego are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Betting Prediction
Based on the analysis of the evaluation of the two teams and the betting trends, the recommendation favors a volatile contest. The Dodges being at the risk of elimination in their next game are anticipated to make full use of their supporting batting order and pitching toughness and thus are very good to take the spread. Furthermore, the increasing trend in the projection of goals being scored seems to allow betting on the over.
Considering how much the Dodgers have to win the series in a decisive game, and that they have always been able to recover in perfect games it is fair to state that they are the best pick tonight. As for those who take props bets or total bets, it’s worth betting on the total points going up because both teams have participated in consistently over games for quite some time now. From the latest MLB preview, expect a tight contest with the Dodgers winning at the end.
Score Prediction: Dodgers 6, Padres 4.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: October 9, 2024
Last updated: March 30, 2025