Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians 10/12/24 – The most thrilling encounter is as the Detroit Tigers (86-76) and the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) meet in an elimination Game 5 of the ALDS. This critical game occurs at Progressive Field on Saturday and determines who moves on in the battle for the World Series trophy. The series is tied at 2 games apiece, and all baseball postseason predictions are alive and pondering on which side will capitalize on the opportunity to strip the critical third game in this mouth watering tussle of a series.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians 10/12/24
| When: | Saturday, October 12, 2024 at 1:08 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Progressive Field |
| TV: | TBS |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians 10/12/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | -1.5 (+150) | 6 over (-110) | -125 |  |
| Guardians | +1.5 (-185) | 6 under (-110) | +105 | |
| ||||
https://twitter.com/tigers/status/1844845787681046814
The betting lines reflect a slight edge for the Detroit Tigers, who enter as favorites in terms of moneyline at -125. The Guardians, however, are favored to cover the spread at +1.5, indicating expectations of a close contest. The total set at 6 points, with the trends pointing towards a low-scoring affair, suggests pitchers might dominate the game’s narrative.
Tarik Skubal (18-4, 2.39 ERA) vs. Matthew Boyd (2-2, 2.72 ERA)
Tarik Skubal has been outstanding for the Detroit Tigers throughout the season, achieving an amazing record of 18-4 and a 2.39 ERA. His accuracy and mesmerizing strikeout ability enables him to record 228 batters struck out over a span of 192 innings. However, Skubal’s challenge will be holding himself together and staying calm in the deciding playoff game as the pressure builds, especially on every pitch thrown.
On the contrary, Matthew Boyd only pitched 39.2 innings so far this season, yet a 2.72 ERA indicates that he has been effective in his limited opportunities. Boyd has good control and does not give up many long balls (4 all season); that is going to be a major asset versus a Tiger offense that possesses power but can be inconsistent. If Boyd is able to outpitch Skubal, this could be the turning point in a Guardians victory.
Tigers’ Tactical Edge
The Detroit Tigers have shown a balanced approach at the plate this season, highlighted by their .234 batting average and a respectable slugging percentage of .385. Their ability to connect for 162 home runs, led by key sluggers, showcases their threat in generating scoring opportunities. However, their on-base percentage at .300 suggests room for improvement in getting runners on base, a critical factor in postseason games.
Guardians’ Strategic Play
Cleveland Guardians slightly edge out the Tigers with a .238 batting average and more potent slugging at .395, supported by 185 homers. Their slightly higher on-base percentage (.307) indicates a slightly better capability to manufacture runs, crucial in tight playoff matches. The Guardians’ pitching staff, matching Detroit’s ERA but with a higher WHIP, needs to be sharp to leverage their offensive capabilities fully.
Trends
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit’s last 10 games.
Detroit are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games.
Tigers are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games against Cleveland.
Detroit are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Detroit’s last 15 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland’s last 9 games.
Cleveland are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland’s last 7 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland’s last 15 games when playing at home against Detroit.
Cleveland are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games against an opponent in the American League Central Division division.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Betting Prediction
As a result of the pitching duel and both teams’ recent under trends, a lower total seems common so betting with the UNDER appears to be a good strategy. The Tigers, with Skubal on the mound, ought to be the favourites in this duel but considering the Guardians’ at-bats and the effectiveness of Boyd’s pitching, it could be neck to neck.
Although the Tigers are the favourite to win, the Guardians may be a better bet to cover the spread. Bettors who are after more betting opportunities might look for prop bets like total strikeouts or pitcher’s innings. Those who wish to use the Internet for wagering will have to look for top-rated casino sites with best odds and other wagering opportunities.
Score Prediction: Tigers 3, Guardians 2.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: October 12, 2024
Last updated: March 31, 2025