Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres 10/2/24 – With the colors of the leaves changing and a new season in the form of fall penetrating the air, it is MLB postseason and this time it promises to be as electric as the rest in the National League Wild Card Series. Game 2 features the Atlanta Braves who finished the season at 89-73 facing the mighty San Diego Padres who have finished the season at 93-69. Besides the stunning backdrop presented by Petco Park, this clash is also quite interesting for fans who are keen on watching high stakes baseball. This game is essential for anyone interested in making MLB winning picks.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres 10/2/24
| When: | Wednesday, October 2, 2024 at 8:38 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Petco Park |
| TV: | ESP2, Fubo |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres 10/2/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -1.5 (+158) | 7 over (-108) | -103 |  |
| Padres | +1.5 (-196) | 7 under (-119) | -115 | |
| ||||
Pick a time.
Pick a place.
We'll be there.#DigDeepATL pic.twitter.com/2pzJiYldQA— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) October 1, 2024
The betting landscape for this Wild Card clash reveals tightly contested odds, reflecting the high caliber of both teams. Atlanta, slightly the underdog at -103 on the moneyline, appears to offer value considering their potent lineup. However, the Padres, priced at -115, stand as slight favorites at home. With both teams trending towards low-scoring affairs, the total under 7 at -119 for San Diego could be a tempting bet for those who trust the trend will continue.
Max Fried (11-10 W-L, 3.25 ERA) vs. Joe Musgrove (6-5 W-L, 3.88 ERA)
Max Fried, the ace pitcher of the Braves, heads to the mound with an 11-10 win-loss record alongside impressive statistics such as a 3.25 earned run average. Max Fried has been controlling games throughout the regular season with a 1.16 WHIP over 174.1 innings comprising of 166 strikeouts. He is also relatively competent at limiting home runs (only 13 home runs allowed all season) and managing intense situations in the games – elements that will come in handy as he takes on a potent offensive unit in the Pads.
On the contrary, Joe Musgrove carries a win-loss record of 6-5 with a 3.88 ERA in this important match. Musgrove is also balanced and effective in his 99.2 innings pitched, and he was able to keep a healthy WHIP of 1.17 despite the unfortunate circumstances of this year. His task will be to deal with the Braves, who are known for punishing pitchers’ misgivings, and this will be critical for the success of the Padres’ advancement in pursuing their win tonight.
Braves’ Strategic Batting Approach
The Atlanta Braves come into this game with a team batting average of .243 and notable power metrics, including 213 home runs. Their slugging percentage at .415, combined with a .309 on-base percentage, shows they have the ability to change the game with one swing. However, their occasional struggles with consistency at the plate might be a point of vulnerability that the Padres could exploit.
Padres’ Commanding Offensive Force
Conversely, the San Diego Padres boast a higher batting average of .263 and superior on-base metrics (.324 OBP and .420 slugging percentage). With 760 runs scored and 1456 hits, they’ve proven their ability to put pressure on opposing pitchers. The matchup against Fried will be a test of whether their balanced offensive approach can break through his seasoned pitching tactics.
Trends
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 7 games.
Atlanta are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games.
Braves are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games against San Diego.
Atlanta are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Diego’s last 14 games.
San Diego are 12-4 SU in their last 16 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games against Atlanta.
San Diego are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres Betting Prediction
Taking a closer look at the pitchers deployed and their current form, it seems that this will be sort of a nail-biting contest. Max Fried’s postseason and being able to deliver under pressure are what might slightly tip off the elite Atlanta Braves over the exhausted pitchers. However, one must not forget the hot streak the Padres have on V.
Betting wise, the smart money would go for the under on total runs, considering the two teams’ recent history. Also, given the Padres’ strong home performance and the Braves’ weaknesses away at San Diego, a small bet on San Diego to take the game would be a sensible one for those interested in top casino sites.
Score Prediction: Padres 3, Braves 2.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: October 2, 2024
Last updated: March 31, 2025