Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens Picks 9/10/23 – Week 1 of the NFL season set the scene for some captivating matchups, and the latest football betting trends provided an early indication of how teams are faring. Looking ahead, the Houston Texans and Baltimore Ravens will meet on Sunday at M&T Bank Stadium, broadcast on CBS and streamed via NFL Game Pass.
Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens Picks 9/10/23
| When: | Sunday, September 10, 2023 1:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | M&T Bank Stadium |
| TV: | TV |
| Stream: | NFL+ |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | +10 (-110) | 43.5 o (-110) | +395 |  |
| Ravens | -10 (-110) | 43.5 u (-110) | -500 | |
| ||||
WEEK 1 IS COMING pic.twitter.com/ErKUpa44yD
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) September 3, 2023
Davis Mills
Davis Mills, a young quarterback with limited NFL experience, faces an uphill battle against an established Baltimore Ravens defense. To date, Mills has completed 55.6% of his passes for 246 yards and one touchdown over three games; although these may not make for impressive reading statistics, they demonstrate some degree of accuracy while managing games effectively, though his average passing yardage per game and attempt suggest short passing games instead of aggressive long pass strategies.
Mills has not thrown an interception yet, which is encouraging, yet his three sacks over three games suggest his offensive line may not have provided sufficient protection or that he has held onto the ball too long. With Ravens known for aggressive pass rush and complex blitz packages a threat for any offense, if Mills can’t quickly read their defense and make accurate throws under pressure, it could spell doom for their offensive efficiency. Quarterbacks rarely work alone. Mills has two primary targets he relies upon – running back Mike Boone and wide receiver Xavier Hutchinson. Boone has amassed 88 yards on 16 carries for Mills, while Hutchinson has caught six passes totaling 70 yards.
TEAM B
However, Josh Johnson of the Ravens has demonstrated impressive stats throughout his first three games as quarterback of their squad. With an impressive 72.7% completion rate, 285 yards, and four touchdowns total, Johnson seems to be in his element and seems comfortable taking more risks downfield with 8.6 yards per attempt and 95 average yards per game average per attempt average; such statistics indicate his willingness to take more risks that have proven successful for them thus far. Johnson has only thrown one interception so far and been sacked twice, showing improved protection from his offensive line and improved decision-making skills.
The Ravens typically employ a balanced attack consisting of running and passing plays, helping Johnson find open receivers downfield more often than before. If Johnson maintains this level of play against an opposing defense such as the Houston Texans’, which has some vulnerable areas to defend, this matchup could prove challenging. Johnson has seen more support from his offensive players, with running back Owen Wright amassing 107 yards on 23 carries and tight end Charlie Kolar catching eight passes for 120 yards.
NFL Odds: Baltimore Ravens -10 ; O/U 43.5
Given the odds and trends, two attractive bets are backing the Texans to cover a +10 spread and betting under 43.5 total points. Both options provide an optimal risk-reward scenario considering both teams’ strengths and weaknesses and recent performance trends.
Houston Texans Betting Trends
Houston are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston’s last 9 games.
Houston are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games.
Houston are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games against Baltimore.
Texans are 5-14 SU in their last 19 games on the road.
Houston are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Trends
Baltimore are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Baltimore’s last 15 games.
Baltimore are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games against Houston.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore’s last 5 games at home.
Baltimore are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Houston.
Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens Betting Picks
NFL betting sites tend to favor Baltimore for outright victory; however, taking Houston as an underdog to cover the +10 spread could be prudent given recent results: their recent form shows they may be close. Although historically strong against Houston at home, Baltimore may struggle against Houston this week with only four wins out of four matches this season. Betting the UNDER 43.5 at -110 could be an effective strategy, with both teams tending toward lower-scoring games. Prop bets include Josh Johnson accumulating over 1.5 touchdowns based on his current form.
Score Prediction: Ravens 22, Texans 20
