Motorsport events are highly unpredictable year after year, and Mexico’s E-Prix was a prime example of this. Nick Cassidy came from behind on the grid to win Citroën Racing’s first-ever Formula E race after 149 events. This was history in the making. Meanwhile, Eli Tomac was determined to win and did so, taking first place in the first round of the 2026 AMA Supercross series in Anaheim. Tomac’s win was also pivotal for the championship as he was now in the lead. These results not only changed the standings for both competitions, but also the betting odds.
For anyone involved in motorsports betting online, these kinds of weekends matter more than almost anything else. Sudden momentum changes create pricing gaps before sportsbooks fully adjust. Smart bettors act in those windows.
In this analysis, we will explore how Cassidy’s Formula E win and Tomac’s Supercross victory change season expectations, race-to-race betting value, and futures markets. We will review the results and how potential championship outcomes may now be altered, how live betting will be affected, and where the best current betting odds are likely to be found.
The motorsport world has shifted from electric street racing to dirt track racing. We are already seeing the impact.
Cassidy’s Mexico City Shockwave
Nick Cassidy did more than just win in Mexico City. He did it in the most disruptive way possible. Starting outside the top ten, he carved through the field with impeccable Attack Mode timing, aggressive energy management, and overtakes that were, for the most part, unchallenged. By the final laps, he was setting the pace, rather than having to chase it.
Most wins in Formula E are fairly equal in value, but this win was an outlier. Mexico City has, over the years, become a little more predictable than the other tracks in the championship. In recent seasons, drivers who have won in Mexico City have gone on to compete for the title or win it all. The track rewards efficiency, and Cassidy has shown that he has it, in addition to raw speed.
For Citroën Racing, the win is a game-changer. Entering the season, most teams were priced as midfield. Following Mexico, Cassidy has a better chance of winning future races and also the championship. Bettors who secured a ticket with odds before the race are in a better position, as Cassidy’s championship odds have dropped.
This race did, however, show some weaknesses. The drivers who dominated qualifying were nowhere to be seen afterwards. Formula E races are about to be more predictable now, with decreased focus on grid position, as apparent in the betting markets.
For anyone who plans to bet in live sports during Formula E races, Cassidy’s Mexico City performance becomes a blueprint: late-race energy efficiency is just as important as early track position.
Tomac’s Anaheim Statement
Eli Tomac didn’t win Anaheim — he owned it.
During his first Supercross competition with Red Bull KTM Factory Racing, Tomac quickly took the lead and never gave it back. The bike appeared to be stable. His lap times were steady. And most importantly, his racecraft looked ready to win a championship.
The 450SX championship is all about momentum. Riders who start fast also dictate the rest of the championship. Tomac’s win instantly made him an elite contender for the championship, while the likes of Chase Sexton and Cooper Webb now have a championship pressure to quickly respond.
From a betting viewpoint, Anaheim is the ultimate forecast race. It demonstrates which riders and teams have been lightning fast during the offseason. Tomac most certainly was and did not require the usual chaos and crashes other riders have.
Bookmakers prefer to see unscientific, straightforward domination because it is a confidence boost for championship futures, race-to-race props, and head-to-head betting.
The championship odds will move faster than Formula E when it comes to Supercross. It is a short season with higher risks of injuries. Anyone who is waiting to see Tomac win the championship will most likely end up with a worse price than someone who bets on it now.
Momentum Shifts Across Motorsports
The significance of this weekend is that both Cassidy and Tomac did not simply win – they reset expectations.
Cassidy’s drive in Mexico City shifted the conversation back to the title for the Formula E championship. Citroën’s teams are now seen not just as competitive, but as a threat. This alters competitor strategies and thus the race.
In Supercross, Tomac’s performance in Anaheim applies psychological pressure to the rest of the field. Those behind Tomac are forced to take dangerous risks in an attempt to keep pace. This is even more important for betting, where the risk and reward go hand in hand.
In motorsports, momentum isn’t just emotionally driven, but also mechanical, strategic, and financial. When one team gains momentum, the rest have to adjust, and so do the bookmakers.
This is the type of racing week when betting value really shows. The value in betting is seen in the weeks where the pace of the market hasn’t caught up to the pace of the race.
How to Turn These Results Into Bets
Cassidy’s victory shifts how we consider Formula E. Instead of spreading small bets across multiple drivers, consider concentrated exposure to drivers who can win under pressure. Cassidy now fits that profile.
In Supercross, Tomac’s predictability makes him an optimal race-to-race matchup bet. He doesn’t need to win every race to become profitable. He just needs to go over a few rivals.
Live betting is an evolving practice. Formula E has a late race energy management gamble, while Supercross has traffic and rhythm section gambles. Look at how Cassidy and Tomac manage those overlays.
Good betting is not about crystal ball guessing; it’s about reacting to performative bet signals.
Expert Betting Insights
Bet on momentum, not speculation
Cassidy and Tomac earned their reputations on the track, not from speculative stories over the winter.
Use head-to-head betting
These types of bets reduce the randomness involved and focus on specific outcomes.
Pay attention to how wins are achieved
An outstanding victory is more meaningful than a fortunate one.
Bet as soon as possible after large events
Odds will not reflect the current reality for a long period.
Do not overreact to a single poor result
Even the best drivers can have a bad day, and trends are more important.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: In what aspects is motorsport betting different from betting on other sports?
A: In motorsports, there are more variables than in any other sport due to the combination of different skill sets that come from the drivers, their teams, and the cars of the sport themselves. This also means there are more opportunities for value betting for the more trained bettors.
Q: Is betting on Formula E more difficult than betting on Formula 1?
A: Yes. In Formula E, there is also the question of energy management that adds to the volatility, and therefore, it is more important to have live and match betting than to bet on the outright winners.
Q: Is Eli Tomac now the Supercross favorite?
A: Yes, he is one of the favorites. Tomac showed he has the speed and consistency to contend at Anaheim, and that is exactly what the sportsbooks price into their futures.
Q: How to Stop Chasing Losses on Sports Betting Site?
A: Top that chasing losses at sports betting sites, set limits and walk away when you hit them. Chasing losses turns bad luck into bigger mistakes.
Q: When is the best time to bet on Supercross races?
A: Right after the qualifying and the heat races, because you get to see who has the true race pace.
Q: Are futures bets better predicted early or late in the season?
A: Early on, because the prices haven’t fully adjusted to the momentum.
Q: Is live betting worth it in motorsports?
A: Yes! Especially when you know how to read the race flow and the strategy.
The Next Wave of Motorsports Value
Cassidy’s breakthrough and Tomac’s dominance didn’t just deliver highlights — they reset the betting board. Formula E has a new title force. Supercross has a rider setting the pace. And motorsports betting online just got more interesting.
The smart play now is timing. Odds will continue to move as sportsbooks catch up to reality. Those who act early get the best numbers.
If you’re ready to put those insights to work, BetNow offers full coverage on Formula E, Supercross, and all major motorsports markets — from futures to live race betting.
Momentum is already shifting. The only question is whether you move with it.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: January 11, 2026
Last updated: January 12, 2026